Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a strong position in Indiana's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The northeast Indiana seat, centered on Fort Wayne, has consistently favored Republican candidates, with Stutzman securing 65 percent in the prior cycle. Following the May 2026 primaries, where he advanced over a challenger, the general election matchup features Democrat Kelly Thompson and independent Phillip Beachy. Limited polling and the district's voting patterns underpin the market's consensus on a Republican hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national midterm wave, a significant scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though these remain low-probability events given the seat's structural Republican advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,398 交易量
$12,398 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$12,398 交易量
$12,398 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,120 交易量
94%
民主党
$9,278 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a strong position in Indiana's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The northeast Indiana seat, centered on Fort Wayne, has consistently favored Republican candidates, with Stutzman securing 65 percent in the prior cycle. Following the May 2026 primaries, where he advanced over a challenger, the general election matchup features Democrat Kelly Thompson and independent Phillip Beachy. Limited polling and the district's voting patterns underpin the market's consensus on a Republican hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national midterm wave, a significant scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though these remain low-probability events given the seat's structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,398结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a strong position in Indiana's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The northeast Indiana seat, centered on Fort Wayne, has consistently favored Republican candidates, with Stutzman securing 65 percent in the prior cycle. Following the May 2026 primaries, where he advanced over a challenger, the general election matchup features Democrat Kelly Thompson and independent Phillip Beachy. Limited polling and the district's voting patterns underpin the market's consensus on a Republican hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national midterm wave, a significant scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though these remain low-probability events given the seat's structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,398结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a strong position in Indiana's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The northeast Indiana seat, centered on Fort Wayne, has consistently favored Republican candidates, with Stutzman securing 65 percent in the prior cycle. Following the May 2026 primaries, where he advanced over a challenger, the general election matchup features Democrat Kelly Thompson and independent Phillip Beachy. Limited polling and the district's voting patterns underpin the market's consensus on a Republican hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national midterm wave, a significant scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though these remain low-probability events given the seat's structural Republican advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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