Iowa’s open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly competitive heading into November, with recent polling averages showing Republican Ashley Hinson edging Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek by roughly 2 points in the Senate contest and Democratic state Auditor Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn by about 4 points for governor. Forecasters rate the Senate race a toss-up and the governor’s contest lean Democratic, reflecting Iowa’s Republican tilt offset by strong Democratic nominees, independent voter trends, and economic pressures on farmers. These dynamics keep the probability of a Democratic governor paired with a Republican senator nearly even with other outcome combinations, as modest shifts in turnout or late polling movement could alter the split or produce a sweep.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党赢得州长，共和党赢得参议院 47%
民主党横扫 39%
共和党横扫 17%
共和党赢州长，民主党赢参议员 2.0%
$10,794 交易量
$10,794 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党赢得州长，共和党赢得参议院
47%
民主党横扫
39%
共和党横扫
17%
共和党赢州长，民主党赢参议员
2%
民主党赢得州长，共和党赢得参议院 47%
民主党横扫 39%
共和党横扫 17%
共和党赢州长，民主党赢参议员 2.0%
$10,794 交易量
$10,794 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党赢得州长，共和党赢得参议院
$3,923 交易量
47%
民主党横扫
$3,172 交易量
39%
共和党横扫
$2,932 交易量
17%
共和党赢州长，民主党赢参议员
$767 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Iowa’s open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly competitive heading into November, with recent polling averages showing Republican Ashley Hinson edging Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek by roughly 2 points in the Senate contest and Democratic state Auditor Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn by about 4 points for governor. Forecasters rate the Senate race a toss-up and the governor’s contest lean Democratic, reflecting Iowa’s Republican tilt offset by strong Democratic nominees, independent voter trends, and economic pressures on farmers. These dynamics keep the probability of a Democratic governor paired with a Republican senator nearly even with other outcome combinations, as modest shifts in turnout or late polling movement could alter the split or produce a sweep.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET
交易量
$10,794结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Iowa’s open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly competitive heading into November, with recent polling averages showing Republican Ashley Hinson edging Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek by roughly 2 points in the Senate contest and Democratic state Auditor Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn by about 4 points for governor. Forecasters rate the Senate race a toss-up and the governor’s contest lean Democratic, reflecting Iowa’s Republican tilt offset by strong Democratic nominees, independent voter trends, and economic pressures on farmers. These dynamics keep the probability of a Democratic governor paired with a Republican senator nearly even with other outcome combinations, as modest shifts in turnout or late polling movement could alter the split or produce a sweep.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$10,794结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ETIowa’s open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly competitive heading into November, with recent polling averages showing Republican Ashley Hinson edging Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek by roughly 2 points in the Senate contest and Democratic state Auditor Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn by about 4 points for governor. Forecasters rate the Senate race a toss-up and the governor’s contest lean Democratic, reflecting Iowa’s Republican tilt offset by strong Democratic nominees, independent voter trends, and economic pressures on farmers. These dynamics keep the probability of a Democratic governor paired with a Republican senator nearly even with other outcome combinations, as modest shifts in turnout or late polling movement could alter the split or produce a sweep.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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