Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson benefits from the state's longstanding Republican tilt, strong primary performance with Trump and Ernst endorsements, and a fundraising edge. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most surveys amid low undecideds, reflecting competitive dynamics where Democratic enthusiasm for Turek's profile as a Paralympic medalist and policy focus on economic issues offsets Republican structural advantages. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling trends in this closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$176,144 交易量
$176,144 交易量
2026-11-03
阿什莉·欣森（共和党）
57%
乔什·图雷克（民主党）
44%
$176,144 交易量
$176,144 交易量
2026-11-03
阿什莉·欣森（共和党）
$86,983 交易量
57%
乔什·图雷克（民主党）
$89,161 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson benefits from the state's longstanding Republican tilt, strong primary performance with Trump and Ernst endorsements, and a fundraising edge. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most surveys amid low undecideds, reflecting competitive dynamics where Democratic enthusiasm for Turek's profile as a Paralympic medalist and policy focus on economic issues offsets Republican structural advantages. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling trends in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
交易量
$176,144结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson benefits from the state's longstanding Republican tilt, strong primary performance with Trump and Ernst endorsements, and a fundraising edge. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most surveys amid low undecideds, reflecting competitive dynamics where Democratic enthusiasm for Turek's profile as a Paralympic medalist and policy focus on economic issues offsets Republican structural advantages. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling trends in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$176,144结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson benefits from the state's longstanding Republican tilt, strong primary performance with Trump and Ernst endorsements, and a fundraising edge. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most surveys amid low undecideds, reflecting competitive dynamics where Democratic enthusiasm for Turek's profile as a Paralympic medalist and policy focus on economic issues offsets Republican structural advantages. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling trends in this closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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