The open Iowa U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, pits GOP frontrunner Rep. Ashley Hinson—bolstered by superior fundraising—against competitive Democratic primary contenders state Sen. Zach Wahls and state Rep. Josh Turek ahead of the June 2 primaries. Recent Echelon Insights polling from late April showed both Democrats edging Hinson within the margin of error (46-44% vs. Wahls, 46-45% vs. Turek), yet trader consensus tilts Republican due to Iowa's strong GOP lean, evidenced by Trump's double-digit 2024 margin, and uncertainty over the Democratic nominee's general election viability. High-profile endorsements, including Pete Buttigieg for Turek and Elizabeth Warren for Wahls, plus early primary voting underway, could further influence probabilities before November's general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$115,545 交易量
$115,545 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
61%
民主党
41%
$115,545 交易量
$115,545 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$52,733 交易量
61%
民主党
$62,812 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Iowa U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, pits GOP frontrunner Rep. Ashley Hinson—bolstered by superior fundraising—against competitive Democratic primary contenders state Sen. Zach Wahls and state Rep. Josh Turek ahead of the June 2 primaries. Recent Echelon Insights polling from late April showed both Democrats edging Hinson within the margin of error (46-44% vs. Wahls, 46-45% vs. Turek), yet trader consensus tilts Republican due to Iowa's strong GOP lean, evidenced by Trump's double-digit 2024 margin, and uncertainty over the Democratic nominee's general election viability. High-profile endorsements, including Pete Buttigieg for Turek and Elizabeth Warren for Wahls, plus early primary voting underway, could further influence probabilities before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
交易量
$115,545结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Iowa U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, pits GOP frontrunner Rep. Ashley Hinson—bolstered by superior fundraising—against competitive Democratic primary contenders state Sen. Zach Wahls and state Rep. Josh Turek ahead of the June 2 primaries. Recent Echelon Insights polling from late April showed both Democrats edging Hinson within the margin of error (46-44% vs. Wahls, 46-45% vs. Turek), yet trader consensus tilts Republican due to Iowa's strong GOP lean, evidenced by Trump's double-digit 2024 margin, and uncertainty over the Democratic nominee's general election viability. High-profile endorsements, including Pete Buttigieg for Turek and Elizabeth Warren for Wahls, plus early primary voting underway, could further influence probabilities before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$115,545结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Iowa U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, pits GOP frontrunner Rep. Ashley Hinson—bolstered by superior fundraising—against competitive Democratic primary contenders state Sen. Zach Wahls and state Rep. Josh Turek ahead of the June 2 primaries. Recent Echelon Insights polling from late April showed both Democrats edging Hinson within the margin of error (46-44% vs. Wahls, 46-45% vs. Turek), yet trader consensus tilts Republican due to Iowa's strong GOP lean, evidenced by Trump's double-digit 2024 margin, and uncertainty over the Democratic nominee's general election viability. High-profile endorsements, including Pete Buttigieg for Turek and Elizabeth Warren for Wahls, plus early primary voting underway, could further influence probabilities before November's general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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