Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since 1989, was killed on February 28, 2026, in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes during escalated conflict, prompting a swift leadership transition. His son, Mojtaba Khamenei, was appointed successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March, solidifying IRGC influence amid internal power struggles and regime continuity concerns. As of mid-May, Mojtaba remains unseen publicly, fueling speculation on his authority versus military dominance, while a fragile ceasefire holds following 40 days of attacks. No further leadership shifts have occurred in the past 30 days; traders watch for Assembly disputes, health disclosures, or renewed hostilities that could trigger additional changes before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,564,903 交易量
2026-05-31
5月31日
6%
6月30日
14%
12月31日
35%
$13,564,903 交易量
5月31日
$1,912,398 交易量
6%
6月30日
$1,064,909 交易量
14%
12月31日
$2,391,715 交易量
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since 1989, was killed on February 28, 2026, in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes during escalated conflict, prompting a swift leadership transition. His son, Mojtaba Khamenei, was appointed successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March, solidifying IRGC influence amid internal power struggles and regime continuity concerns. As of mid-May, Mojtaba remains unseen publicly, fueling speculation on his authority versus military dominance, while a fragile ceasefire holds following 40 days of attacks. No further leadership shifts have occurred in the past 30 days; traders watch for Assembly disputes, health disclosures, or renewed hostilities that could trigger additional changes before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
交易量
$13,564,903结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since 1989, was killed on February 28, 2026, in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes during escalated conflict, prompting a swift leadership transition. His son, Mojtaba Khamenei, was appointed successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March, solidifying IRGC influence amid internal power struggles and regime continuity concerns. As of mid-May, Mojtaba remains unseen publicly, fueling speculation on his authority versus military dominance, while a fragile ceasefire holds following 40 days of attacks. No further leadership shifts have occurred in the past 30 days; traders watch for Assembly disputes, health disclosures, or renewed hostilities that could trigger additional changes before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$13,564,903结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since 1989, was killed on February 28, 2026, in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes during escalated conflict, prompting a swift leadership transition. His son, Mojtaba Khamenei, was appointed successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March, solidifying IRGC influence amid internal power struggles and regime continuity concerns. As of mid-May, Mojtaba remains unseen publicly, fueling speculation on his authority versus military dominance, while a fragile ceasefire holds following 40 days of attacks. No further leadership shifts have occurred in the past 30 days; traders watch for Assembly disputes, health disclosures, or renewed hostilities that could trigger additional changes before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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