Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 during joint US-Israeli strikes, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March 2026 via a unanimous vote after an interim leadership council assumed duties. This rapid transition, following contingency plans Khamenei had reportedly prepared amid prior tensions, shifted trader focus to consolidation under the new leader. In August 2026, Mojtaba Khamenei issued senior military and security appointments, including roles tied to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, signaling efforts to stabilize command structures during active regional conflict. Ongoing diplomatic and military developments remain key variables that could influence any further leadership adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,478,689 交易量
2026-08-15
8月15日
<1%
8月22日
1%
8月31日
2%
9月30日
6%
10月31日
10%
11月30日
13%
12月31日
18%
2027年6月30日
26%
$23,478,689 交易量
8月15日
$60,914 交易量
<1%
8月22日
$31,948 交易量
1%
8月31日
$1,148,849 交易量
2%
9月30日
$438,590 交易量
6%
10月31日
$8,752 交易量
10%
11月30日
$9,572 交易量
13%
12月31日
$3,996,826 交易量
18%
2027年6月30日
$236,862 交易量
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 during joint US-Israeli strikes, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March 2026 via a unanimous vote after an interim leadership council assumed duties. This rapid transition, following contingency plans Khamenei had reportedly prepared amid prior tensions, shifted trader focus to consolidation under the new leader. In August 2026, Mojtaba Khamenei issued senior military and security appointments, including roles tied to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, signaling efforts to stabilize command structures during active regional conflict. Ongoing diplomatic and military developments remain key variables that could influence any further leadership adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
交易量
$23,478,689结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 during joint US-Israeli strikes, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March 2026 via a unanimous vote after an interim leadership council assumed duties. This rapid transition, following contingency plans Khamenei had reportedly prepared amid prior tensions, shifted trader focus to consolidation under the new leader. In August 2026, Mojtaba Khamenei issued senior military and security appointments, including roles tied to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, signaling efforts to stabilize command structures during active regional conflict. Ongoing diplomatic and military developments remain key variables that could influence any further leadership adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$23,478,689结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 during joint US-Israeli strikes, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March 2026 via a unanimous vote after an interim leadership council assumed duties. This rapid transition, following contingency plans Khamenei had reportedly prepared amid prior tensions, shifted trader focus to consolidation under the new leader. In August 2026, Mojtaba Khamenei issued senior military and security appointments, including roles tied to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, signaling efforts to stabilize command structures during active regional conflict. Ongoing diplomatic and military developments remain key variables that could influence any further leadership adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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