Iran's political landscape has shifted sharply following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli military operations. The Assembly of Experts quickly installed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor, yet the new leader's prolonged public absence and reliance on written statements have fueled questions about effective control, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps assuming greater authority over security and policy decisions. President Masoud Pezeshkian has emphasized institutional unity through recent meetings and diplomatic outreach, while economic strain from wartime losses and sanctions relief talks continue to test stability. Upcoming negotiations or any escalation in internal security challenges could influence whether further leadership adjustments occur by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,670,110 交易量
2026-06-30
5月31日
6%
6月30日
13%
12月31日
34%
$13,670,110 交易量
5月31日
$1,987,433 交易量
6%
6月30日
$1,089,384 交易量
13%
12月31日
$2,397,412 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political landscape has shifted sharply following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli military operations. The Assembly of Experts quickly installed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor, yet the new leader's prolonged public absence and reliance on written statements have fueled questions about effective control, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps assuming greater authority over security and policy decisions. President Masoud Pezeshkian has emphasized institutional unity through recent meetings and diplomatic outreach, while economic strain from wartime losses and sanctions relief talks continue to test stability. Upcoming negotiations or any escalation in internal security challenges could influence whether further leadership adjustments occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
交易量
$13,670,110结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political landscape has shifted sharply following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli military operations. The Assembly of Experts quickly installed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor, yet the new leader's prolonged public absence and reliance on written statements have fueled questions about effective control, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps assuming greater authority over security and policy decisions. President Masoud Pezeshkian has emphasized institutional unity through recent meetings and diplomatic outreach, while economic strain from wartime losses and sanctions relief talks continue to test stability. Upcoming negotiations or any escalation in internal security challenges could influence whether further leadership adjustments occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$13,670,110结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's political landscape has shifted sharply following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli military operations. The Assembly of Experts quickly installed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor, yet the new leader's prolonged public absence and reliance on written statements have fueled questions about effective control, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps assuming greater authority over security and policy decisions. President Masoud Pezeshkian has emphasized institutional unity through recent meetings and diplomatic outreach, while economic strain from wartime losses and sanctions relief talks continue to test stability. Upcoming negotiations or any escalation in internal security challenges could influence whether further leadership adjustments occur by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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