Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran activated constitutional provisions for an interim leadership council comprising the president, judiciary head, and a senior cleric to manage the transition. The Assembly of Experts, the body responsible for selecting the supreme leader, completed its process in early March with the unanimous selection of Mojtaba Khamenei as successor, marking the second such transfer since the Islamic Republic's founding. This rapid succession amid ongoing regional tensions and domestic pressures has shaped trader assessments of further leadership shifts, with attention now turning to potential policy continuity, internal power dynamics within the clerical establishment, and any scheduled Assembly of Experts sessions or external diplomatic developments through the end of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,693,894 交易量
2026-05-31
5月31日
6%
6月30日
13%
12月31日
34%
$13,693,894 交易量
5月31日
$2,002,555 交易量
6%
6月30日
$1,097,126 交易量
13%
12月31日
$2,398,332 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran activated constitutional provisions for an interim leadership council comprising the president, judiciary head, and a senior cleric to manage the transition. The Assembly of Experts, the body responsible for selecting the supreme leader, completed its process in early March with the unanimous selection of Mojtaba Khamenei as successor, marking the second such transfer since the Islamic Republic's founding. This rapid succession amid ongoing regional tensions and domestic pressures has shaped trader assessments of further leadership shifts, with attention now turning to potential policy continuity, internal power dynamics within the clerical establishment, and any scheduled Assembly of Experts sessions or external diplomatic developments through the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
交易量
$13,693,894结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran activated constitutional provisions for an interim leadership council comprising the president, judiciary head, and a senior cleric to manage the transition. The Assembly of Experts, the body responsible for selecting the supreme leader, completed its process in early March with the unanimous selection of Mojtaba Khamenei as successor, marking the second such transfer since the Islamic Republic's founding. This rapid succession amid ongoing regional tensions and domestic pressures has shaped trader assessments of further leadership shifts, with attention now turning to potential policy continuity, internal power dynamics within the clerical establishment, and any scheduled Assembly of Experts sessions or external diplomatic developments through the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$13,693,894结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran activated constitutional provisions for an interim leadership council comprising the president, judiciary head, and a senior cleric to manage the transition. The Assembly of Experts, the body responsible for selecting the supreme leader, completed its process in early March with the unanimous selection of Mojtaba Khamenei as successor, marking the second such transfer since the Islamic Republic's founding. This rapid succession amid ongoing regional tensions and domestic pressures has shaped trader assessments of further leadership shifts, with attention now turning to potential policy continuity, internal power dynamics within the clerical establishment, and any scheduled Assembly of Experts sessions or external diplomatic developments through the end of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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