Recent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting consistent Arab-sector support near the electoral threshold amid low historical turnout. The list's August 2026 reunification after prolonged negotiations, finalized candidate slate submission in early September, and surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am have helped consolidate votes and reduce fragmentation risks that previously kept Balad below the bar. Trader consensus across the 6-9 seat bands aligns with these surveys, as Zionist opposition parties maintain distance from Arab lists and broader bloc arithmetic shows limited upside absent major turnout surges or late security shifts. Disqualification petitions filed in mid-September add minor uncertainty but are viewed as unlikely to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8-9 40%
10-11 31%
少于6 17%
12+ 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于6
17%
6-7
38%
8-9
40%
10-11
31%
12+
3%
8-9 40%
10-11 31%
少于6 17%
12+ 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于6
$391 交易量
17%
6-7
$236 交易量
38%
8-9
$1,783 交易量
40%
10-11
$286 交易量
31%
12+
$395 交易量
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting consistent Arab-sector support near the electoral threshold amid low historical turnout. The list's August 2026 reunification after prolonged negotiations, finalized candidate slate submission in early September, and surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am have helped consolidate votes and reduce fragmentation risks that previously kept Balad below the bar. Trader consensus across the 6-9 seat bands aligns with these surveys, as Zionist opposition parties maintain distance from Arab lists and broader bloc arithmetic shows limited upside absent major turnout surges or late security shifts. Disqualification petitions filed in mid-September add minor uncertainty but are viewed as unlikely to alter the outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$3,091结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting consistent Arab-sector support near the electoral threshold amid low historical turnout. The list's August 2026 reunification after prolonged negotiations, finalized candidate slate submission in early September, and surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am have helped consolidate votes and reduce fragmentation risks that previously kept Balad below the bar. Trader consensus across the 6-9 seat bands aligns with these surveys, as Zionist opposition parties maintain distance from Arab lists and broader bloc arithmetic shows limited upside absent major turnout surges or late security shifts. Disqualification petitions filed in mid-September add minor uncertainty but are viewed as unlikely to alter the outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$3,091结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRecent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting consistent Arab-sector support near the electoral threshold amid low historical turnout. The list's August 2026 reunification after prolonged negotiations, finalized candidate slate submission in early September, and surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am have helped consolidate votes and reduce fragmentation risks that previously kept Balad below the bar. Trader consensus across the 6-9 seat bands aligns with these surveys, as Zionist opposition parties maintain distance from Arab lists and broader bloc arithmetic shows limited upside absent major turnout surges or late security shifts. Disqualification petitions filed in mid-September add minor uncertainty but are viewed as unlikely to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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