Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Shas at 7–9 seats on average, with the party's Sephardi Haredi base showing stable but limited growth amid competition from new lists and shifting alliances. Shas leader Aryeh Deri has focused campaigning on religious and social issues while navigating internal tensions, including reported leadership input from Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef. The party's coalition alignment with Likud and other right-wing and Haredi factions supports its floor, yet broader fragmentation—driven by Yashar, Together, and smaller religious Zionist contenders—caps upside potential. Trader pricing on 8–9 seats reflects this polling consensus and the absence of major recent catalysts that would push Shas clearly higher or lower, while wider ranges capture residual uncertainty over turnout and last-minute slate dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8-9 34%
6-7 19%
12+ 15%
10-11 14%
少于6个席位
11%
6-7
19%
8-9
34%
10-11
14%
12+
15%
8-9 34%
6-7 19%
12+ 15%
10-11 14%
少于6个席位
11%
6-7
19%
8-9
34%
10-11
14%
12+
15%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Shas at 7–9 seats on average, with the party's Sephardi Haredi base showing stable but limited growth amid competition from new lists and shifting alliances. Shas leader Aryeh Deri has focused campaigning on religious and social issues while navigating internal tensions, including reported leadership input from Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef. The party's coalition alignment with Likud and other right-wing and Haredi factions supports its floor, yet broader fragmentation—driven by Yashar, Together, and smaller religious Zionist contenders—caps upside potential. Trader pricing on 8–9 seats reflects this polling consensus and the absence of major recent catalysts that would push Shas clearly higher or lower, while wider ranges capture residual uncertainty over turnout and last-minute slate dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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