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icon for 以色列大选:共同投票份额?

以色列大选:共同投票份额?

icon for 以色列大选:共同投票份额?

以色列大选:共同投票份额?

低于7% 43%

9-11% 40%

7-9% 39%

13%及以上 38%

Polymarket
最新

低于7% 43%

9-11% 40%

7-9% 39%

13%及以上 38%

Polymarket
最新

低于7%

$0 交易量

43%

7-9%

$0 交易量

39%

9-11%

$0 交易量

40%

11-13%

$0 交易量

30%

13%及以上

$0 交易量

38%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The tight trader consensus around Together’s vote share reflects the alliance’s ongoing erosion in recent opinion surveys since its April 2026 formation by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, with projections falling from the low 20s of Knesset seats earlier in the summer to the mid-teens by early September. Competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has pulled ahead in multiple polls, has drawn centrist and right-leaning voters away, while the decision against a merger with Yashar and the final candidate list submissions on September 8 have left limited time for recovery before the October 27 election. Fluctuations in bloc dynamics, including shifts in undecided voters and the performance of smaller parties near the threshold, sustain the narrow spreads across the 7-11 percent range without clear separation in the latest data.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-27
市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The tight trader consensus around Together’s vote share reflects the alliance’s ongoing erosion in recent opinion surveys since its April 2026 formation by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, with projections falling from the low 20s of Knesset seats earlier in the summer to the mid-teens by early September. Competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has pulled ahead in multiple polls, has drawn centrist and right-leaning voters away, while the decision against a merger with Yashar and the final candidate list submissions on September 8 have left limited time for recovery before the October 27 election. Fluctuations in bloc dynamics, including shifts in undecided voters and the performance of smaller parties near the threshold, sustain the narrow spreads across the 7-11 percent range without clear separation in the latest data.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-27
市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

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常见问题

"以色列大选:共同投票份额?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"低于7%",概率为 43%,其次是"9-11%",概率为 40%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 43¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"以色列大选:共同投票份额?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 8, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"以色列大选:共同投票份额?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"以色列大选:共同投票份额?"的当前领先者是"低于7%",概率为 43%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 43%。紧随其后的结果是"9-11%",概率为 40%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"以色列大选:共同投票份额?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。