Recent Israeli polls place Yisrael Beiteinu near 7–10 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 6–8% of the vote and keeping the 5–6% and 6–7% brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Avigdor Lieberman’s party has maintained steady support among secular and Russian-speaking voters through its focus on universal conscription and security priorities, reinforced by a September 6 slate unveiling that highlighted bereaved families and a September 10 surplus-vote pact with the Together party. Broader fragmentation between Likud, Yashar, and other right-leaning lists limits clear momentum, while ongoing coalition negotiations and turnout patterns among core demographics continue to influence final allocation under the 3.25% threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6-7% 41%
少于5% 35%
5-6% 26%
7-8% 20%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于5%
35%
5-6%
26%
6-7%
41%
7-8%
15%
8%及以上
24%
6-7% 41%
少于5% 35%
5-6% 26%
7-8% 20%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于5%
$784 交易量
35%
5-6%
$119 交易量
26%
6-7%
$201 交易量
41%
7-8%
$132 交易量
15%
8%及以上
$47 交易量
24%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli polls place Yisrael Beiteinu near 7–10 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 6–8% of the vote and keeping the 5–6% and 6–7% brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Avigdor Lieberman’s party has maintained steady support among secular and Russian-speaking voters through its focus on universal conscription and security priorities, reinforced by a September 6 slate unveiling that highlighted bereaved families and a September 10 surplus-vote pact with the Together party. Broader fragmentation between Likud, Yashar, and other right-leaning lists limits clear momentum, while ongoing coalition negotiations and turnout patterns among core demographics continue to influence final allocation under the 3.25% threshold.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
交易量
$1,283结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli polls place Yisrael Beiteinu near 7–10 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 6–8% of the vote and keeping the 5–6% and 6–7% brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Avigdor Lieberman’s party has maintained steady support among secular and Russian-speaking voters through its focus on universal conscription and security priorities, reinforced by a September 6 slate unveiling that highlighted bereaved families and a September 10 surplus-vote pact with the Together party. Broader fragmentation between Likud, Yashar, and other right-leaning lists limits clear momentum, while ongoing coalition negotiations and turnout patterns among core demographics continue to influence final allocation under the 3.25% threshold.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$1,283结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETRecent Israeli polls place Yisrael Beiteinu near 7–10 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 6–8% of the vote and keeping the 5–6% and 6–7% brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Avigdor Lieberman’s party has maintained steady support among secular and Russian-speaking voters through its focus on universal conscription and security priorities, reinforced by a September 6 slate unveiling that highlighted bereaved families and a September 10 surplus-vote pact with the Together party. Broader fragmentation between Likud, Yashar, and other right-leaning lists limits clear momentum, while ongoing coalition negotiations and turnout patterns among core demographics continue to influence final allocation under the 3.25% threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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