Japan maintains no dedicated national UAP disclosure program, parliamentary mandate, or announced schedule for releasing previously non-public files on unexplained aerial phenomena through December 2026. In May 2026, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara responded to Pentagon PURSUE tranches—including Japan-area sightings—by confirming analysis and U.S. coordination while stating that any Japanese releases would proceed strictly case-by-case after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group submitted proposals for centralized Cabinet-level data handling, yet these remain at the recommendation stage without legislative action or scheduled public releases. Recent institutional changes, including the July 2026 launch of the National Intelligence Bureau, prioritize general coordination over transparency mandates. Trader consensus at 92.5% on “No” reflects these procedural and security-driven barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8% 概率
$10,970 交易量
$10,970 交易量
2026-12-31
8% 概率
$10,970 交易量
$10,970 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan maintains no dedicated national UAP disclosure program, parliamentary mandate, or announced schedule for releasing previously non-public files on unexplained aerial phenomena through December 2026. In May 2026, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara responded to Pentagon PURSUE tranches—including Japan-area sightings—by confirming analysis and U.S. coordination while stating that any Japanese releases would proceed strictly case-by-case after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group submitted proposals for centralized Cabinet-level data handling, yet these remain at the recommendation stage without legislative action or scheduled public releases. Recent institutional changes, including the July 2026 launch of the National Intelligence Bureau, prioritize general coordination over transparency mandates. Trader consensus at 92.5% on “No” reflects these procedural and security-driven barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
交易量
$10,970结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan maintains no dedicated national UAP disclosure program, parliamentary mandate, or announced schedule for releasing previously non-public files on unexplained aerial phenomena through December 2026. In May 2026, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara responded to Pentagon PURSUE tranches—including Japan-area sightings—by confirming analysis and U.S. coordination while stating that any Japanese releases would proceed strictly case-by-case after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group submitted proposals for centralized Cabinet-level data handling, yet these remain at the recommendation stage without legislative action or scheduled public releases. Recent institutional changes, including the July 2026 launch of the National Intelligence Bureau, prioritize general coordination over transparency mandates. Trader consensus at 92.5% on “No” reflects these procedural and security-driven barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,970结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETJapan maintains no dedicated national UAP disclosure program, parliamentary mandate, or announced schedule for releasing previously non-public files on unexplained aerial phenomena through December 2026. In May 2026, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara responded to Pentagon PURSUE tranches—including Japan-area sightings—by confirming analysis and U.S. coordination while stating that any Japanese releases would proceed strictly case-by-case after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group submitted proposals for centralized Cabinet-level data handling, yet these remain at the recommendation stage without legislative action or scheduled public releases. Recent institutional changes, including the July 2026 launch of the National Intelligence Bureau, prioritize general coordination over transparency mandates. Trader consensus at 92.5% on “No” reflects these procedural and security-driven barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题