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icon for Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
Geopolitics·Chechnya

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

icon for Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
Geopolitics·Chechnya

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

$280,797 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$280,797 交易量

Polymarket

December 31

$61,355 交易量

20%

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ramzan Kadyrov’s continued tenure as Head of the Chechen Republic remains tied to persistent reports of deteriorating health, including pancreatic necrosis and kidney issues requiring dialysis, alongside repeated public statements that only President Vladimir Putin can approve his departure. In April 2026, Putin met Kadyrov and publicly endorsed his candidacy for the September 2026 regional leadership vote, while Kadyrov signaled readiness to run if approved. Moscow has prioritized stability amid the Ukraine conflict, with Kremlin-linked sources indicating no immediate change while Kadyrov remains alive. Speculation centers on potential successors such as his son Adam or figures like Magomed Daudov, yet clan dynamics and the risk of unrest continue to shape trader assessments of removal timing.

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$280,797
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ramzan Kadyrov’s continued tenure as Head of the Chechen Republic remains tied to persistent reports of deteriorating health, including pancreatic necrosis and kidney issues requiring dialysis, alongside repeated public statements that only President Vladimir Putin can approve his departure. In April 2026, Putin met Kadyrov and publicly endorsed his candidacy for the September 2026 regional leadership vote, while Kadyrov signaled readiness to run if approved. Moscow has prioritized stability amid the Ukraine conflict, with Kremlin-linked sources indicating no immediate change while Kadyrov remains alive. Speculation centers on potential successors such as his son Adam or figures like Magomed Daudov, yet clan dynamics and the risk of unrest continue to shape trader assessments of removal timing.

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$280,797
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"December 31"，概率为 20%，其次是"March 31"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 20¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 20%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?"已产生 $280.8K 的总交易量（自Jan 14, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?"的当前领先者是"December 31"，概率为 20%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 20%。紧随其后的结果是"March 31"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。