Recent US-North Korea diplomatic contacts, including President Trump's reported outreach and scaling back of joint exercises with South Korea, have centered on potential summits abroad rather than any invitation for Kim Jong Un to visit US territory. Structural barriers remain dominant: Kim has never traveled to the United States, longstanding sanctions and terrorism designations complicate logistics, and North Korea's deepening ties with Russia and China reduce incentives for high-risk bilateral engagement on American soil. Trader consensus at 97% "No" reflects these enduring constraints and the absence of credible signals for a 2026 US visit through year-end. A late diplomatic reversal, such as an unexpected invitation tied to APEC or bilateral talks, could still shift probabilities before December 31.