Chen Yu-jen’s March 2026 nomination as the sole Kuomintang candidate for the November 28 Kinmen County magistrate race has anchored trader consensus around her at 87.5 percent, reflecting the county’s longstanding KMT electoral strength and her established record as the local Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen’s political history favors KMT-aligned outcomes in magistrate contests, with limited recent success for other parties despite the current officeholder’s TPP affiliation. Lower-priced alternatives such as Li Wen-liang at 11 percent and Liang Wen-tao at 3 percent show limited momentum in available reporting, while the field remains open to late entrants or independent bids. Scheduled party registration deadlines and any cross-strait policy developments in the coming months could still influence final positioning before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于陈玉珍 88%
李文亮 12%
梁文韬 4.7%
杨镇浯 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陈玉珍
88%
李文亮
12%
梁文韬
5%
杨镇浯
1%
陈玉珍 88%
李文亮 12%
梁文韬 4.7%
杨镇浯 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陈玉珍
$1,926 交易量
88%
李文亮
$376 交易量
12%
梁文韬
$245 交易量
5%
杨镇浯
$246 交易量
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen’s March 2026 nomination as the sole Kuomintang candidate for the November 28 Kinmen County magistrate race has anchored trader consensus around her at 87.5 percent, reflecting the county’s longstanding KMT electoral strength and her established record as the local Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen’s political history favors KMT-aligned outcomes in magistrate contests, with limited recent success for other parties despite the current officeholder’s TPP affiliation. Lower-priced alternatives such as Li Wen-liang at 11 percent and Liang Wen-tao at 3 percent show limited momentum in available reporting, while the field remains open to late entrants or independent bids. Scheduled party registration deadlines and any cross-strait policy developments in the coming months could still influence final positioning before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,793结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen’s March 2026 nomination as the sole Kuomintang candidate for the November 28 Kinmen County magistrate race has anchored trader consensus around her at 87.5 percent, reflecting the county’s longstanding KMT electoral strength and her established record as the local Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen’s political history favors KMT-aligned outcomes in magistrate contests, with limited recent success for other parties despite the current officeholder’s TPP affiliation. Lower-priced alternatives such as Li Wen-liang at 11 percent and Liang Wen-tao at 3 percent show limited momentum in available reporting, while the field remains open to late entrants or independent bids. Scheduled party registration deadlines and any cross-strait policy developments in the coming months could still influence final positioning before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$2,793结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen’s March 2026 nomination as the sole Kuomintang candidate for the November 28 Kinmen County magistrate race has anchored trader consensus around her at 87.5 percent, reflecting the county’s longstanding KMT electoral strength and her established record as the local Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen’s political history favors KMT-aligned outcomes in magistrate contests, with limited recent success for other parties despite the current officeholder’s TPP affiliation. Lower-priced alternatives such as Li Wen-liang at 11 percent and Liang Wen-tao at 3 percent show limited momentum in available reporting, while the field remains open to late entrants or independent bids. Scheduled party registration deadlines and any cross-strait policy developments in the coming months could still influence final positioning before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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