Chen Yu-jen’s nomination by the Kuomintang as its sole candidate for the 2026 Kinmen County magistrate race has anchored trader consensus around her strong position. As the sitting Legislative Yuan representative for the county, she benefits from established local recognition and the party’s historical dominance in this offshore constituency, where KMT or aligned candidates have long prevailed. Recent party announcements in March 2026 highlighted her selection alongside other female nominees, emphasizing her record on regional security and economic issues. Limited visibility for alternative contenders, including independents and minor-party figures, has kept their implied probabilities low ahead of the year-end vote, with no major shifts reported in candidate registration or polling trends since the nominations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于陈玉珍 88%
李文亮 12%
梁文韬 2.1%
杨镇浯 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陈玉珍
88%
李文亮
12%
梁文韬
2%
杨镇浯
1%
陈玉珍 88%
李文亮 12%
梁文韬 2.1%
杨镇浯 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陈玉珍
$1,926 交易量
88%
李文亮
$376 交易量
12%
梁文韬
$245 交易量
2%
杨镇浯
$246 交易量
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen’s nomination by the Kuomintang as its sole candidate for the 2026 Kinmen County magistrate race has anchored trader consensus around her strong position. As the sitting Legislative Yuan representative for the county, she benefits from established local recognition and the party’s historical dominance in this offshore constituency, where KMT or aligned candidates have long prevailed. Recent party announcements in March 2026 highlighted her selection alongside other female nominees, emphasizing her record on regional security and economic issues. Limited visibility for alternative contenders, including independents and minor-party figures, has kept their implied probabilities low ahead of the year-end vote, with no major shifts reported in candidate registration or polling trends since the nominations.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,793结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen’s nomination by the Kuomintang as its sole candidate for the 2026 Kinmen County magistrate race has anchored trader consensus around her strong position. As the sitting Legislative Yuan representative for the county, she benefits from established local recognition and the party’s historical dominance in this offshore constituency, where KMT or aligned candidates have long prevailed. Recent party announcements in March 2026 highlighted her selection alongside other female nominees, emphasizing her record on regional security and economic issues. Limited visibility for alternative contenders, including independents and minor-party figures, has kept their implied probabilities low ahead of the year-end vote, with no major shifts reported in candidate registration or polling trends since the nominations.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$2,793结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen’s nomination by the Kuomintang as its sole candidate for the 2026 Kinmen County magistrate race has anchored trader consensus around her strong position. As the sitting Legislative Yuan representative for the county, she benefits from established local recognition and the party’s historical dominance in this offshore constituency, where KMT or aligned candidates have long prevailed. Recent party announcements in March 2026 highlighted her selection alongside other female nominees, emphasizing her record on regional security and economic issues. Limited visibility for alternative contenders, including independents and minor-party figures, has kept their implied probabilities low ahead of the year-end vote, with no major shifts reported in candidate registration or polling trends since the nominations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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