FC Seoul enters the Gyeongin Derby as slight favorites at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting their position atop the K League 1 standings with 53 points from 25 matches, a league-leading 47 goals scored, and a recent 3-0-1 run capped by a 7-0 thrashing of Anyang. Incheon United sits seventh with 33 points and enters on a downturn after its six-match unbeaten streak ended in a 2-1 loss to Anyang on August 26. Seoul has won the last two head-to-head league meetings, including a 2-1 road victory in February and a 1-0 home result in July, while enjoying strong home form at Seoul World Cup Stadium. The market assigns Incheon 31% and the draw 30.5%, consistent with Seoul’s superior attack and defensive record offset by Incheon’s solid away results and the derby’s competitive history.