Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican KS-02 district (R+10 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report), driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Recent FEC reports from mid-April highlight Schmidt's fundraising lead over potential challengers, including a GOP primary contender like Don Coover, while Democrats lack a prominent candidate to contest the seat. Schmidt's legislative momentum—including House passage of the Farm Bill on April 30 supporting Kansas agriculture and his bipartisan police background check bill advancing May 12—reinforces perceptions of electability in this eastern Kansas battleground encompassing Topeka. No public polls yet, but historical midterm incumbent re-election rates above 90% underscore the steep path for Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,679 交易量
88%
民主党
$4,532 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican KS-02 district (R+10 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report), driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Recent FEC reports from mid-April highlight Schmidt's fundraising lead over potential challengers, including a GOP primary contender like Don Coover, while Democrats lack a prominent candidate to contest the seat. Schmidt's legislative momentum—including House passage of the Farm Bill on April 30 supporting Kansas agriculture and his bipartisan police background check bill advancing May 12—reinforces perceptions of electability in this eastern Kansas battleground encompassing Topeka. No public polls yet, but historical midterm incumbent re-election rates above 90% underscore the steep path for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$6,211结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican KS-02 district (R+10 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report), driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Recent FEC reports from mid-April highlight Schmidt's fundraising lead over potential challengers, including a GOP primary contender like Don Coover, while Democrats lack a prominent candidate to contest the seat. Schmidt's legislative momentum—including House passage of the Farm Bill on April 30 supporting Kansas agriculture and his bipartisan police background check bill advancing May 12—reinforces perceptions of electability in this eastern Kansas battleground encompassing Topeka. No public polls yet, but historical midterm incumbent re-election rates above 90% underscore the steep path for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,211结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican KS-02 district (R+10 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report), driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Recent FEC reports from mid-April highlight Schmidt's fundraising lead over potential challengers, including a GOP primary contender like Don Coover, while Democrats lack a prominent candidate to contest the seat. Schmidt's legislative momentum—including House passage of the Farm Bill on April 30 supporting Kansas agriculture and his bipartisan police background check bill advancing May 12—reinforces perceptions of electability in this eastern Kansas battleground encompassing Topeka. No public polls yet, but historical midterm incumbent re-election rates above 90% underscore the steep path for Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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