No confirmed announcements, credible reporting, or verified statements indicate Kylie Jenner is pregnant as of mid-August 2026, driving the market's 67.5% implied probability on "No." Persistent social media rumors tying her to a third child with Timothée Chalamet have been repeatedly traced to parody accounts and dismissed by fact-checks, while Jenner has historically controlled pregnancy news through selective Instagram posts or post-birth reveals, as with Stormi and Aire. Recent interviews focus only on past pregnancies, offering no signals of new developments. Traders appear to weigh the lack of any public confirmation or industry buzz against unsubstantiated speculation. Potential catalysts include direct social media activity, red-carpet appearances, or family statements that could rapidly shift sentiment before year-end.