Atlético Madrid enter as slight favorites in this early La Liga clash at Anoeta, backed by superior recent form and historical dominance that align with the 45% implied probability traders assign to an away win. The visitors sit third in the standings after strong opening results, including a convincing victory over Sevilla, while Real Sociedad have collected just three points from three matches amid a winless run extending from pre-season losses and defeats to Betis and Real Madrid. Key absences for Sociedad, notably long-term knee issues for Álvaro Odriozola alongside fitness doubts for several midfielders, compound their struggles, though the Basque side's strong home record at their compact stadium supports the elevated 30.5% chance assigned to them and the 26% draw probability. Historical head-to-head trends favor Atlético in the majority of recent encounters, yet early-season variables such as squad rotation and set-piece opportunities keep the matchup competitive.