Federal legislative efforts to restrict sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, such as the bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act introduced in March 2026, remain in committee with no floor votes or passage. State actions have produced a patchwork: Minnesota enacted but saw its outright ban enjoined by federal court on preemption grounds, while Utah redefined gambling to cover proposition bets and Illinois imposed licensing requirements. CFTC rulemaking proposes permitting certain objective sports outcomes under surveillance standards rather than prohibiting them. Ongoing litigation in multiple states and the absence of scheduled congressional action before year-end support trader expectations that no nationwide ban will take effect in 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
11% 概率
$19,895 交易量
$19,895 交易量
2026-12-31
是
11% 概率
$19,895 交易量
$19,895 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal legislative efforts to restrict sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, such as the bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act introduced in March 2026, remain in committee with no floor votes or passage. State actions have produced a patchwork: Minnesota enacted but saw its outright ban enjoined by federal court on preemption grounds, while Utah redefined gambling to cover proposition bets and Illinois imposed licensing requirements. CFTC rulemaking proposes permitting certain objective sports outcomes under surveillance standards rather than prohibiting them. Ongoing litigation in multiple states and the absence of scheduled congressional action before year-end support trader expectations that no nationwide ban will take effect in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$19,895结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal legislative efforts to restrict sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, such as the bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act introduced in March 2026, remain in committee with no floor votes or passage. State actions have produced a patchwork: Minnesota enacted but saw its outright ban enjoined by federal court on preemption grounds, while Utah redefined gambling to cover proposition bets and Illinois imposed licensing requirements. CFTC rulemaking proposes permitting certain objective sports outcomes under surveillance standards rather than prohibiting them. Ongoing litigation in multiple states and the absence of scheduled congressional action before year-end support trader expectations that no nationwide ban will take effect in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,895结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETFederal legislative efforts to restrict sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, such as the bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act introduced in March 2026, remain in committee with no floor votes or passage. State actions have produced a patchwork: Minnesota enacted but saw its outright ban enjoined by federal court on preemption grounds, while Utah redefined gambling to cover proposition bets and Illinois imposed licensing requirements. CFTC rulemaking proposes permitting certain objective sports outcomes under surveillance standards rather than prohibiting them. Ongoing litigation in multiple states and the absence of scheduled congressional action before year-end support trader expectations that no nationwide ban will take effect in 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题