Flamengo's commanding 4-1 first-leg victory in Group A of the Copa Libertadores, combined with their status as defending champions and superior squad depth, anchors trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for a Flamengo win. The second leg on May 8 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot was abandoned after three minutes amid Independiente Medellín ultras' pitch invasion protesting club management during a poor run of form, prompting CONMEBOL's tribunal review—likely awarding Flamengo a 3-0 walkover per regulations on host security failures. Despite Flamengo absences like Giorgian de Arrascaeta's collarbone injury and Erick Pulgar's shoulder issue, their Brazilian Serie A pedigree and head-to-head dominance heavily outweigh Medellín's slim upset chances at 3%, with draw pricing reflecting potential replay uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于If Independiente Medellín wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Apr 10, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Independiente Medellín wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Apr 10, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flamengo's commanding 4-1 first-leg victory in Group A of the Copa Libertadores, combined with their status as defending champions and superior squad depth, anchors trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for a Flamengo win. The second leg on May 8 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot was abandoned after three minutes amid Independiente Medellín ultras' pitch invasion protesting club management during a poor run of form, prompting CONMEBOL's tribunal review—likely awarding Flamengo a 3-0 walkover per regulations on host security failures. Despite Flamengo absences like Giorgian de Arrascaeta's collarbone injury and Erick Pulgar's shoulder issue, their Brazilian Serie A pedigree and head-to-head dominance heavily outweigh Medellín's slim upset chances at 3%, with draw pricing reflecting potential replay uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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