President Trump’s renewed August 2026 push to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, triggered by a White House letter citing 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations and granting her 21 days to respond, remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on her departure timeline. Prior attempts were blocked by Supreme Court rulings emphasizing central-bank independence, leaving Cook’s term—expiring in 2038—intact absent proven misconduct in office. Markets continue to price in low near-term odds of an exit, reflecting legal hurdles, Cook’s stated refusal to resign, and the absence of fresh economic data or FOMC developments that would accelerate resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include her formal reply, potential further litigation, and any administration filings that could test removal authority before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-11-30
9月30日
2%
10月31日
3%
11月30日
5%
12月31日
7%
$4,656 交易量
9月30日
$1,246 交易量
2%
10月31日
$1,236 交易量
3%
11月30日
$939 交易量
5%
12月31日
$1,235 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed August 2026 push to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, triggered by a White House letter citing 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations and granting her 21 days to respond, remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on her departure timeline. Prior attempts were blocked by Supreme Court rulings emphasizing central-bank independence, leaving Cook’s term—expiring in 2038—intact absent proven misconduct in office. Markets continue to price in low near-term odds of an exit, reflecting legal hurdles, Cook’s stated refusal to resign, and the absence of fresh economic data or FOMC developments that would accelerate resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include her formal reply, potential further litigation, and any administration filings that could test removal authority before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$4,656结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed August 2026 push to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, triggered by a White House letter citing 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations and granting her 21 days to respond, remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on her departure timeline. Prior attempts were blocked by Supreme Court rulings emphasizing central-bank independence, leaving Cook’s term—expiring in 2038—intact absent proven misconduct in office. Markets continue to price in low near-term odds of an exit, reflecting legal hurdles, Cook’s stated refusal to resign, and the absence of fresh economic data or FOMC developments that would accelerate resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include her formal reply, potential further litigation, and any administration filings that could test removal authority before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$4,656结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s renewed August 2026 push to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, triggered by a White House letter citing 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations and granting her 21 days to respond, remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on her departure timeline. Prior attempts were blocked by Supreme Court rulings emphasizing central-bank independence, leaving Cook’s term—expiring in 2038—intact absent proven misconduct in office. Markets continue to price in low near-term odds of an exit, reflecting legal hurdles, Cook’s stated refusal to resign, and the absence of fresh economic data or FOMC developments that would accelerate resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include her formal reply, potential further litigation, and any administration filings that could test removal authority before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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