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icon for 爱赢: 2026年版

爱赢: 2026年版

icon for 爱赢: 2026年版

爱赢: 2026年版

62% 概率
Polymarket
最新

62% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfRecent confirmations that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce married in July at Madison Square Garden, along with Tom Holland’s June announcement of his marriage to Zendaya, have shifted trader focus squarely onto the final condition: whether Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner will get engaged by year-end. The couple continues to appear affectionate in public and reportedly shares a home, yet credible industry reporting shows they are comfortable with their current pace and lack any imminent plans to formalize an engagement. With four and a half months remaining and no major catalyst on the horizon, the market-implied odds of 57.5% for Yes reflect a slim consensus that the third high-profile union remains plausible but far from certain.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
交易量
$4,949
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfRecent confirmations that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce married in July at Madison Square Garden, along with Tom Holland’s June announcement of his marriage to Zendaya, have shifted trader focus squarely onto the final condition: whether Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner will get engaged by year-end. The couple continues to appear affectionate in public and reportedly shares a home, yet credible industry reporting shows they are comfortable with their current pace and lack any imminent plans to formalize an engagement. With four and a half months remaining and no major catalyst on the horizon, the market-implied odds of 57.5% for Yes reflect a slim consensus that the third high-profile union remains plausible but far from certain.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
交易量
$4,949
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"爱赢: 2026年版"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"爱获胜:2026年版",概率为 62%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"爱赢: 2026年版"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Feb 10, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"爱赢: 2026年版"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"爱赢: 2026年版"的当前领先者是"爱获胜:2026年版",概率为 62%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"爱赢: 2026年版"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。