Recent scheduling orders in Luigi Mangione’s high-profile cases have anchored trader sentiment around the September 8, 2026 start date for his New York state murder trial. With jury selection and opening statements now locked in for early fall 2026—well before the 2027 threshold—market-implied odds for a “yes” outcome sit at 79 percent. Defense requests for further delays were largely denied, while parallel federal charges have been pushed into January 2027, leaving the state proceeding as the decisive near-term catalyst. Traders are closely watching the June status conference and any last-minute motions that could still shift the calendar, yet the current timeline and ongoing pretrial momentum strongly favor resolution ahead of the new year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent scheduling orders in Luigi Mangione’s high-profile cases have anchored trader sentiment around the September 8, 2026 start date for his New York state murder trial. With jury selection and opening statements now locked in for early fall 2026—well before the 2027 threshold—market-implied odds for a “yes” outcome sit at 79 percent. Defense requests for further delays were largely denied, while parallel federal charges have been pushed into January 2027, leaving the state proceeding as the decisive near-term catalyst. Traders are closely watching the June status conference and any last-minute motions that could still shift the calendar, yet the current timeline and ongoing pretrial momentum strongly favor resolution ahead of the new year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 17, 2025, 4:18 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent scheduling orders in Luigi Mangione’s high-profile cases have anchored trader sentiment around the September 8, 2026 start date for his New York state murder trial. With jury selection and opening statements now locked in for early fall 2026—well before the 2027 threshold—market-implied odds for a “yes” outcome sit at 79 percent. Defense requests for further delays were largely denied, while parallel federal charges have been pushed into January 2027, leaving the state proceeding as the decisive near-term catalyst. Traders are closely watching the June status conference and any last-minute motions that could still shift the calendar, yet the current timeline and ongoing pretrial momentum strongly favor resolution ahead of the new year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent scheduling orders in Luigi Mangione’s high-profile cases have anchored trader sentiment around the September 8, 2026 start date for his New York state murder trial. With jury selection and opening statements now locked in for early fall 2026—well before the 2027 threshold—market-implied odds for a “yes” outcome sit at 79 percent. Defense requests for further delays were largely denied, while parallel federal charges have been pushed into January 2027, leaving the state proceeding as the decisive near-term catalyst. Traders are closely watching the June status conference and any last-minute motions that could still shift the calendar, yet the current timeline and ongoing pretrial momentum strongly favor resolution ahead of the new year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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