**Incumbent Rep. Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** McGovern secured 68.6% in the 2024 general election against minimal opposition, continuing a pattern of double-digit margins in this central Massachusetts district where Kamala Harris captured 61% of the presidential vote. No Republican primary candidates have filed as of mid-May, with nomination deadlines approaching June 2 ahead of the September 1 primaries. While a credible GOP challenger, Democratic primary upset, major scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, current pricing reflects the incumbent's fundraising strength ($263,000 cash on hand) and the district's entrenched partisan leanings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,916 交易量
$29,916 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$29,916 交易量
$29,916 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,341 交易量
93%
共和党
$9,575 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** McGovern secured 68.6% in the 2024 general election against minimal opposition, continuing a pattern of double-digit margins in this central Massachusetts district where Kamala Harris captured 61% of the presidential vote. No Republican primary candidates have filed as of mid-May, with nomination deadlines approaching June 2 ahead of the September 1 primaries. While a credible GOP challenger, Democratic primary upset, major scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, current pricing reflects the incumbent's fundraising strength ($263,000 cash on hand) and the district's entrenched partisan leanings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$29,916结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** McGovern secured 68.6% in the 2024 general election against minimal opposition, continuing a pattern of double-digit margins in this central Massachusetts district where Kamala Harris captured 61% of the presidential vote. No Republican primary candidates have filed as of mid-May, with nomination deadlines approaching June 2 ahead of the September 1 primaries. While a credible GOP challenger, Democratic primary upset, major scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, current pricing reflects the incumbent's fundraising strength ($263,000 cash on hand) and the district's entrenched partisan leanings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,916结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** McGovern secured 68.6% in the 2024 general election against minimal opposition, continuing a pattern of double-digit margins in this central Massachusetts district where Kamala Harris captured 61% of the presidential vote. No Republican primary candidates have filed as of mid-May, with nomination deadlines approaching June 2 ahead of the September 1 primaries. While a credible GOP challenger, Democratic primary upset, major scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, current pricing reflects the incumbent's fundraising strength ($263,000 cash on hand) and the district's entrenched partisan leanings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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