Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,241 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,357 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$4,598结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,598结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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