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icon for 马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统

马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统

icon for 马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统

马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统

$142,189 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$142,189 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$53,589 交易量

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, aged over 90 and in power since 2005, continues to chair PA meetings and Fatah bodies as of late August 2026, with no verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or removal. Legislative elections scheduled for November 28, 2026—the first in two decades—along with presidential elections planned for 2027, form the main institutional timeline, while a 2025 decree designates Vice President Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor for up to 90 days pending a vote. Rival factions, including elements aligned with Hamas or Mohammed Dahlan, have held exploratory Cairo talks, and polls highlight Marwan Barghouti as a leading alternative, yet Abbas maintains Fatah leadership and has issued new election laws excluding certain rivals. US moves to limit his UNGA participation and international reform pressure add external context, but trader consensus reflects limited near-term disruption absent acute health or political shocks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$142,189
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, aged over 90 and in power since 2005, continues to chair PA meetings and Fatah bodies as of late August 2026, with no verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or removal. Legislative elections scheduled for November 28, 2026—the first in two decades—along with presidential elections planned for 2027, form the main institutional timeline, while a 2025 decree designates Vice President Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor for up to 90 days pending a vote. Rival factions, including elements aligned with Hamas or Mohammed Dahlan, have held exploratory Cairo talks, and polls highlight Marwan Barghouti as a leading alternative, yet Abbas maintains Fatah leadership and has issued new election laws excluding certain rivals. US moves to limit his UNGA participation and international reform pressure add external context, but trader consensus reflects limited near-term disruption absent acute health or political shocks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$142,189
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 14%,其次是"6月30日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 14¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 14%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"已产生 $142.2K 的总交易量(自Jan 5, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 14%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 14%。紧随其后的结果是"6月30日",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。