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icon for 马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统

马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统

icon for 马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统

马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统

$137,187 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$137,187 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$48,587 交易量

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, the longtime president of the Palestinian Authority and Fatah leader, remains in office as of mid-2026 despite turning 90 and facing widespread domestic calls for his resignation. He has consolidated authority through recent moves, including appointing Hussein al-Sheikh as vice president and designated interim successor, re-election as Fatah chairman at the May 2026 party conference, and decrees setting legislative elections for November 2026 with presidential voting eyed for early 2027. Speculation around family involvement, such as his son Yasser Abbas’s rising Fatah role, and ongoing PA challenges including economic strain and governance questions continue to shape discussions of transition timing. These institutional steps and the absence of acute health or political crises support trader views that any departure is more likely tied to the scheduled electoral process than an abrupt exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$137,187
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, the longtime president of the Palestinian Authority and Fatah leader, remains in office as of mid-2026 despite turning 90 and facing widespread domestic calls for his resignation. He has consolidated authority through recent moves, including appointing Hussein al-Sheikh as vice president and designated interim successor, re-election as Fatah chairman at the May 2026 party conference, and decrees setting legislative elections for November 2026 with presidential voting eyed for early 2027. Speculation around family involvement, such as his son Yasser Abbas’s rising Fatah role, and ongoing PA challenges including economic strain and governance questions continue to shape discussions of transition timing. These institutional steps and the absence of acute health or political crises support trader views that any departure is more likely tied to the scheduled electoral process than an abrupt exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$137,187
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 14%,其次是"6月30日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 14¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 14%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"已产生 $137.2K 的总交易量(自Jan 5, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 14%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 14%。紧随其后的结果是"6月30日",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"马哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在担任巴勒斯坦总统"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。