Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins by roughly six points in general-election matchups, reflecting a competitive but Democratic-leaning race ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices appears driven by Governor Janet Mills’ late-April suspension of her Senate bid, which cleared the path for Platner to become the presumptive Democratic nominee following the June 9 primary. Collins maintains strong name recognition and a history of winning in Maine, yet recent surveys indicate erosion in key regions that has narrowed her position. Primary results and any late shifts in voter turnout or campaign dynamics remain the principal factors that could alter these implied probabilities before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$248,834 交易量
$248,834 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
76%
共和党
25%
$248,834 交易量
$248,834 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$150,453 交易量
76%
共和党
$98,382 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins by roughly six points in general-election matchups, reflecting a competitive but Democratic-leaning race ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices appears driven by Governor Janet Mills’ late-April suspension of her Senate bid, which cleared the path for Platner to become the presumptive Democratic nominee following the June 9 primary. Collins maintains strong name recognition and a history of winning in Maine, yet recent surveys indicate erosion in key regions that has narrowed her position. Primary results and any late shifts in voter turnout or campaign dynamics remain the principal factors that could alter these implied probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$248,834结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins by roughly six points in general-election matchups, reflecting a competitive but Democratic-leaning race ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices appears driven by Governor Janet Mills’ late-April suspension of her Senate bid, which cleared the path for Platner to become the presumptive Democratic nominee following the June 9 primary. Collins maintains strong name recognition and a history of winning in Maine, yet recent surveys indicate erosion in key regions that has narrowed her position. Primary results and any late shifts in voter turnout or campaign dynamics remain the principal factors that could alter these implied probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$248,834结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins by roughly six points in general-election matchups, reflecting a competitive but Democratic-leaning race ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices appears driven by Governor Janet Mills’ late-April suspension of her Senate bid, which cleared the path for Platner to become the presumptive Democratic nominee following the June 9 primary. Collins maintains strong name recognition and a history of winning in Maine, yet recent surveys indicate erosion in key regions that has narrowed her position. Primary results and any late shifts in voter turnout or campaign dynamics remain the principal factors that could alter these implied probabilities before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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