Recent polling and campaign momentum in Taiwan’s November 28 local elections have produced a fragmented outlook for the Taipei and New Taipei mayoral races, driving the 50% “Other” and 35.5% KMT Taipei–DPP New Taipei pricing. In Taipei, incumbent KMT Chiang Wan-an retains a polling edge but has seen support narrow to within single digits or trails in some surveys against DPP challenger Puma Shen amid rising enthusiasm for the latter’s campaign. In New Taipei, the open seat features a close contest between KMT Lee Shu-chuan and DPP Su Chiao-hui, with recent surveys showing Su narrowly ahead or tied and roughly one-fifth of voters undecided. These dynamics favor mixed outcomes over sweeps, as traders weigh base mobilization, swing-voter persuasion, and last-weekend turnout in the two adjacent municipalities.