The Republican Party holds a clear lead in the MI-01 House election market, driven by the district's established partisan lean and the re-election bid of longtime incumbent Jack Bergman. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voter index, the seat covering Michigan's Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula has consistently delivered comfortable GOP margins in recent cycles. Bergman filed nominating petitions in March to secure the nomination against limited primary opposition, while Democratic contenders including Callie Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles remain divided ahead of the August 4 primary. No significant polling shifts, endorsements, or external developments have emerged in recent weeks to narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,539 交易量
$12,539 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
71%
民主党
30%
$12,539 交易量
$12,539 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,429 交易量
71%
民主党
$6,111 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a clear lead in the MI-01 House election market, driven by the district's established partisan lean and the re-election bid of longtime incumbent Jack Bergman. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voter index, the seat covering Michigan's Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula has consistently delivered comfortable GOP margins in recent cycles. Bergman filed nominating petitions in March to secure the nomination against limited primary opposition, while Democratic contenders including Callie Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles remain divided ahead of the August 4 primary. No significant polling shifts, endorsements, or external developments have emerged in recent weeks to narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,539结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a clear lead in the MI-01 House election market, driven by the district's established partisan lean and the re-election bid of longtime incumbent Jack Bergman. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voter index, the seat covering Michigan's Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula has consistently delivered comfortable GOP margins in recent cycles. Bergman filed nominating petitions in March to secure the nomination against limited primary opposition, while Democratic contenders including Callie Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles remain divided ahead of the August 4 primary. No significant polling shifts, endorsements, or external developments have emerged in recent weeks to narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,539结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a clear lead in the MI-01 House election market, driven by the district's established partisan lean and the re-election bid of longtime incumbent Jack Bergman. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voter index, the seat covering Michigan's Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula has consistently delivered comfortable GOP margins in recent cycles. Bergman filed nominating petitions in March to secure the nomination against limited primary opposition, while Democratic contenders including Callie Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles remain divided ahead of the August 4 primary. No significant polling shifts, endorsements, or external developments have emerged in recent weeks to narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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