Recent Glengariff Group polling released May 12 shows Democratic frontrunner and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leading the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race at 34% among likely voters, ahead of Republican U.S. Rep. John James (29%) and independent Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan (23%), boosting trader consensus to a 65.5% implied probability for a Democrat victory. Benson has consolidated support among women and Democratic-leaning voters (64%), while Duggan's backing eroded among Democrats and independents since February. With primaries on August 4, Benson dominates Democratic contests at around 60%, but the GOP primary remains competitive between James and businessman Perry Johnson. Despite Donald Trump's 2024 presidential win in this swing state, open-seat dynamics post-term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer favor Democrats per recent surveys.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党 66%
共和党 17%
无党派 15%
$180,629 交易量
$180,629 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
66%
共和党
17%
无党派
15%
民主党 66%
共和党 17%
无党派 15%
$180,629 交易量
$180,629 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$39,448 交易量
66%
共和党
$141,111 交易量
17%
无党派
$71 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Glengariff Group polling released May 12 shows Democratic frontrunner and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leading the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race at 34% among likely voters, ahead of Republican U.S. Rep. John James (29%) and independent Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan (23%), boosting trader consensus to a 65.5% implied probability for a Democrat victory. Benson has consolidated support among women and Democratic-leaning voters (64%), while Duggan's backing eroded among Democrats and independents since February. With primaries on August 4, Benson dominates Democratic contests at around 60%, but the GOP primary remains competitive between James and businessman Perry Johnson. Despite Donald Trump's 2024 presidential win in this swing state, open-seat dynamics post-term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer favor Democrats per recent surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$180,629结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Glengariff Group polling released May 12 shows Democratic frontrunner and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leading the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race at 34% among likely voters, ahead of Republican U.S. Rep. John James (29%) and independent Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan (23%), boosting trader consensus to a 65.5% implied probability for a Democrat victory. Benson has consolidated support among women and Democratic-leaning voters (64%), while Duggan's backing eroded among Democrats and independents since February. With primaries on August 4, Benson dominates Democratic contests at around 60%, but the GOP primary remains competitive between James and businessman Perry Johnson. Despite Donald Trump's 2024 presidential win in this swing state, open-seat dynamics post-term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer favor Democrats per recent surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$180,629结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Glengariff Group polling released May 12 shows Democratic frontrunner and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leading the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race at 34% among likely voters, ahead of Republican U.S. Rep. John James (29%) and independent Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan (23%), boosting trader consensus to a 65.5% implied probability for a Democrat victory. Benson has consolidated support among women and Democratic-leaning voters (64%), while Duggan's backing eroded among Democrats and independents since February. With primaries on August 4, Benson dominates Democratic contests at around 60%, but the GOP primary remains competitive between James and businessman Perry Johnson. Despite Donald Trump's 2024 presidential win in this swing state, open-seat dynamics post-term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer favor Democrats per recent surveys.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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