Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the party's nomination in the August 4 primary by a wide margin, positioning her against Republican U.S. Representative John James, who prevailed in his primary. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by roughly six points in the open-seat general election matchup for November 3. Michigan's term-limited Democratic incumbent and the state's recent voting patterns have contributed to the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. James's congressional background and primary consolidation among Republicans have supported the minority share for that outcome, while the independent option remains marginal following the earlier withdrawal of a potential third-party contender. Scheduled campaign events and further polling releases through the fall could still influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党 84%
共和党 15%
无党派 1.4%
$196,589 交易量
$196,589 交易量

民主党
84%

共和党
15%

无党派
1%
民主党 84%
共和党 15%
无党派 1.4%
$196,589 交易量
$196,589 交易量

民主党
84%

共和党
15%

无党派
1%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the party's nomination in the August 4 primary by a wide margin, positioning her against Republican U.S. Representative John James, who prevailed in his primary. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by roughly six points in the open-seat general election matchup for November 3. Michigan's term-limited Democratic incumbent and the state's recent voting patterns have contributed to the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. James's congressional background and primary consolidation among Republicans have supported the minority share for that outcome, while the independent option remains marginal following the earlier withdrawal of a potential third-party contender. Scheduled campaign events and further polling releases through the fall could still influence positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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