Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate primary on August 4 with 48.5% of the vote in a tight contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, following Mallory McMorrow’s earlier withdrawal, while former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The race for the seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters is viewed as a battleground contest that could influence Senate control, with pre-primary surveys showing El-Sayed competitive or narrowly ahead of Rogers in head-to-head matchups among independents and key demographics. Democrats have moved quickly toward party unity through joint appearances with state leaders. Trader pricing on Polymarket currently assigns El-Sayed the edge at 59.5% implied probability versus 41.5% for Rogers, reflecting post-primary momentum in a state where turnout patterns, swing-voter preferences, and any emerging general-election polling could narrow or widen the gap ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$289,589 交易量
$289,589 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
60%
共和党
42%
$289,589 交易量
$289,589 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$149,796 交易量
60%
共和党
$139,792 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate primary on August 4 with 48.5% of the vote in a tight contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, following Mallory McMorrow’s earlier withdrawal, while former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The race for the seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters is viewed as a battleground contest that could influence Senate control, with pre-primary surveys showing El-Sayed competitive or narrowly ahead of Rogers in head-to-head matchups among independents and key demographics. Democrats have moved quickly toward party unity through joint appearances with state leaders. Trader pricing on Polymarket currently assigns El-Sayed the edge at 59.5% implied probability versus 41.5% for Rogers, reflecting post-primary momentum in a state where turnout patterns, swing-voter preferences, and any emerging general-election polling could narrow or widen the gap ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$289,589结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate primary on August 4 with 48.5% of the vote in a tight contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, following Mallory McMorrow’s earlier withdrawal, while former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The race for the seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters is viewed as a battleground contest that could influence Senate control, with pre-primary surveys showing El-Sayed competitive or narrowly ahead of Rogers in head-to-head matchups among independents and key demographics. Democrats have moved quickly toward party unity through joint appearances with state leaders. Trader pricing on Polymarket currently assigns El-Sayed the edge at 59.5% implied probability versus 41.5% for Rogers, reflecting post-primary momentum in a state where turnout patterns, swing-voter preferences, and any emerging general-election polling could narrow or widen the gap ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$289,589结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate primary on August 4 with 48.5% of the vote in a tight contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, following Mallory McMorrow’s earlier withdrawal, while former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The race for the seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters is viewed as a battleground contest that could influence Senate control, with pre-primary surveys showing El-Sayed competitive or narrowly ahead of Rogers in head-to-head matchups among independents and key demographics. Democrats have moved quickly toward party unity through joint appearances with state leaders. Trader pricing on Polymarket currently assigns El-Sayed the edge at 59.5% implied probability versus 41.5% for Rogers, reflecting post-primary momentum in a state where turnout patterns, swing-voter preferences, and any emerging general-election polling could narrow or widen the gap ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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