Minnesota's longstanding Democratic advantage in U.S. Senate races, reinforced by the state's recent voting patterns and generic ballot leads of roughly 49-41 for Democrats, underpins trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan. As lieutenant governor and the decisive winner of the August 11 Democratic primary with 59 percent, Flanagan enters the general election against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya—who prevailed in her primary with 52 percent—with strong party infrastructure and name recognition. Early polling and the absence of major Republican challengers further solidify this positioning ahead of the November 3 vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unforeseen health or legal developments affecting either candidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$47,494 交易量
$47,494 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
米歇尔·塔福亚（共和党）
9%
$47,494 交易量
$47,494 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$31,632 交易量
91%
米歇尔·塔福亚（共和党）
$15,862 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's longstanding Democratic advantage in U.S. Senate races, reinforced by the state's recent voting patterns and generic ballot leads of roughly 49-41 for Democrats, underpins trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan. As lieutenant governor and the decisive winner of the August 11 Democratic primary with 59 percent, Flanagan enters the general election against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya—who prevailed in her primary with 52 percent—with strong party infrastructure and name recognition. Early polling and the absence of major Republican challengers further solidify this positioning ahead of the November 3 vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unforeseen health or legal developments affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$47,494结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's longstanding Democratic advantage in U.S. Senate races, reinforced by the state's recent voting patterns and generic ballot leads of roughly 49-41 for Democrats, underpins trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan. As lieutenant governor and the decisive winner of the August 11 Democratic primary with 59 percent, Flanagan enters the general election against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya—who prevailed in her primary with 52 percent—with strong party infrastructure and name recognition. Early polling and the absence of major Republican challengers further solidify this positioning ahead of the November 3 vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unforeseen health or legal developments affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$47,494结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's longstanding Democratic advantage in U.S. Senate races, reinforced by the state's recent voting patterns and generic ballot leads of roughly 49-41 for Democrats, underpins trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan. As lieutenant governor and the decisive winner of the August 11 Democratic primary with 59 percent, Flanagan enters the general election against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya—who prevailed in her primary with 52 percent—with strong party infrastructure and name recognition. Early polling and the absence of major Republican challengers further solidify this positioning ahead of the November 3 vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unforeseen health or legal developments affecting either candidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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