Kyle Schwarber and Aaron Judge sit atop the early 2026 home run leaderboard in a tightly contested race, with Schwarber recently becoming the first player to reach 20 homers while Judge stays within a few blasts. Both power hitters have maintained strong recent form through the first six weeks, fueled by favorable matchups and consistent playing time that keeps their pace ahead of the pack. Munetaka Murakami and Matt Olson trail closely behind, benefiting from solid starts and lineup protection, yet the top two’s head-to-head history and home/road splits suggest either could pull away as the season progresses. The narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects traders viewing the outcome as highly competitive given the long schedule and injury risks still ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Aaron Judge 38%
Kyle Schwarber 37%
Munetaka Murakami 11%
Matt Olson 7.8%
Aaron Judge
38%
Kyle Schwarber
37%
Munetaka Murakami
11%
Matt Olson
8%
Yordan Alvarez
6%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
George Springer
<1%
Aaron Judge 38%
Kyle Schwarber 37%
Munetaka Murakami 11%
Matt Olson 7.8%
Aaron Judge
38%
Kyle Schwarber
37%
Munetaka Murakami
11%
Matt Olson
8%
Yordan Alvarez
6%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
George Springer
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber and Aaron Judge sit atop the early 2026 home run leaderboard in a tightly contested race, with Schwarber recently becoming the first player to reach 20 homers while Judge stays within a few blasts. Both power hitters have maintained strong recent form through the first six weeks, fueled by favorable matchups and consistent playing time that keeps their pace ahead of the pack. Munetaka Murakami and Matt Olson trail closely behind, benefiting from solid starts and lineup protection, yet the top two’s head-to-head history and home/road splits suggest either could pull away as the season progresses. The narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects traders viewing the outcome as highly competitive given the long schedule and injury risks still ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题