Walt Weiss leads the NL Manager of the Year market at 39.5% implied probability due to the Atlanta Braves’ dominant first-half performance under the first-year skipper, who took over after Brian Snitker’s retirement. The club sits atop the NL East with a .648 win percentage and strong run differential, far exceeding 2025 expectations despite injuries. Traders credit Weiss’s aggressive bullpen tactics and clubhouse continuity for sustaining momentum. Don Kelly (11%) and Pat Murphy (10.2%) trail on the strength of solid Pirates and Brewers campaigns, respectively, while the rest of the field remains fragmented with no other team matching Atlanta’s early dominance. The race could tighten if late-season injuries or division races shift narratives before the BBWAA vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oliver Marmol 31.2%
Walt Weiss 28%
Pat Murphy 9.4%
Don Kelly 9%
$82,835 交易量
$82,835 交易量
Oliver Marmol
31%
Walt Weiss
28%
Pat Murphy
9%
Don Kelly
9%
Blake Butera
5%
Clayton McCullough
26%
Terry Francona
3%
Dave Roberts
3%
Craig Counsell
2%
Craig Stammen
2%
Torey Lovullo
2%
Warren Schaeffer
1%
Tony Vitello
1%
Carlos Mendoza
<1%
Rob Thomson
<1%
Oliver Marmol 31.2%
Walt Weiss 28%
Pat Murphy 9.4%
Don Kelly 9%
$82,835 交易量
$82,835 交易量
Oliver Marmol
31%
Walt Weiss
28%
Pat Murphy
9%
Don Kelly
9%
Blake Butera
5%
Clayton McCullough
26%
Terry Francona
3%
Dave Roberts
3%
Craig Counsell
2%
Craig Stammen
2%
Torey Lovullo
2%
Warren Schaeffer
1%
Tony Vitello
1%
Carlos Mendoza
<1%
Rob Thomson
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Walt Weiss leads the NL Manager of the Year market at 39.5% implied probability due to the Atlanta Braves’ dominant first-half performance under the first-year skipper, who took over after Brian Snitker’s retirement. The club sits atop the NL East with a .648 win percentage and strong run differential, far exceeding 2025 expectations despite injuries. Traders credit Weiss’s aggressive bullpen tactics and clubhouse continuity for sustaining momentum. Don Kelly (11%) and Pat Murphy (10.2%) trail on the strength of solid Pirates and Brewers campaigns, respectively, while the rest of the field remains fragmented with no other team matching Atlanta’s early dominance. The race could tighten if late-season injuries or division races shift narratives before the BBWAA vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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