Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections due to its R+6 partisan voting index and Finstad's 17-point victory in 2024. Primary elections on August 11 set the general election matchup for November 3, with Democrat Jake Johnson emerging as the main challenger. Recent polling shows Finstad leading by single digits in some surveys while a February poll indicated a tighter race, prompting the DCCC to add the seat to its target list. Traders appear to weigh the district's historical Republican performance and Finstad's fundraising against Democratic efforts to capitalize on local economic concerns ahead of the midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
61%
民主党
37%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,041 交易量
61%
民主党
$3,590 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections due to its R+6 partisan voting index and Finstad's 17-point victory in 2024. Primary elections on August 11 set the general election matchup for November 3, with Democrat Jake Johnson emerging as the main challenger. Recent polling shows Finstad leading by single digits in some surveys while a February poll indicated a tighter race, prompting the DCCC to add the seat to its target list. Traders appear to weigh the district's historical Republican performance and Finstad's fundraising against Democratic efforts to capitalize on local economic concerns ahead of the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$6,631结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections due to its R+6 partisan voting index and Finstad's 17-point victory in 2024. Primary elections on August 11 set the general election matchup for November 3, with Democrat Jake Johnson emerging as the main challenger. Recent polling shows Finstad leading by single digits in some surveys while a February poll indicated a tighter race, prompting the DCCC to add the seat to its target list. Traders appear to weigh the district's historical Republican performance and Finstad's fundraising against Democratic efforts to capitalize on local economic concerns ahead of the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,631结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections due to its R+6 partisan voting index and Finstad's 17-point victory in 2024. Primary elections on August 11 set the general election matchup for November 3, with Democrat Jake Johnson emerging as the main challenger. Recent polling shows Finstad leading by single digits in some surveys while a February poll indicated a tighter race, prompting the DCCC to add the seat to its target list. Traders appear to weigh the district's historical Republican performance and Finstad's fundraising against Democratic efforts to capitalize on local economic concerns ahead of the midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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