Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and a D+32 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who won reelection in 2024 by more than 50 points, is seeking another term ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, where she faces limited Democratic challengers while Republicans field candidates including a repeat nominee who lost decisively last cycle. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's consistent historical dominance since the 1960s and early endorsements for the incumbent. Outcomes could shift only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, significant Democratic primary turmoil producing a weakened nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,461 交易量
$36,461 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$36,461 交易量
$36,461 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$15,719 交易量
95%
共和党
$20,742 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and a D+32 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who won reelection in 2024 by more than 50 points, is seeking another term ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, where she faces limited Democratic challengers while Republicans field candidates including a repeat nominee who lost decisively last cycle. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's consistent historical dominance since the 1960s and early endorsements for the incumbent. Outcomes could shift only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, significant Democratic primary turmoil producing a weakened nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$36,461结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and a D+32 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who won reelection in 2024 by more than 50 points, is seeking another term ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, where she faces limited Democratic challengers while Republicans field candidates including a repeat nominee who lost decisively last cycle. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's consistent historical dominance since the 1960s and early endorsements for the incumbent. Outcomes could shift only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, significant Democratic primary turmoil producing a weakened nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,461结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and a D+32 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who won reelection in 2024 by more than 50 points, is seeking another term ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, where she faces limited Democratic challengers while Republicans field candidates including a repeat nominee who lost decisively last cycle. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's consistent historical dominance since the 1960s and early endorsements for the incumbent. Outcomes could shift only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, significant Democratic primary turmoil producing a weakened nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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