Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and current House majority whip, secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 6th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Emmer's 2024 win. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Minneapolis suburbs and exurbs that favor Republican candidates on turnout and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite absent major shifts before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,736 交易量
$37,736 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
88%
民主党
10%
$37,736 交易量
$37,736 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$20,374 交易量
88%
民主党
$17,362 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and current House majority whip, secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 6th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Emmer's 2024 win. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Minneapolis suburbs and exurbs that favor Republican candidates on turnout and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$37,736结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and current House majority whip, secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 6th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Emmer's 2024 win. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Minneapolis suburbs and exurbs that favor Republican candidates on turnout and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,736结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and current House majority whip, secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 6th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Emmer's 2024 win. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Minneapolis suburbs and exurbs that favor Republican candidates on turnout and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite absent major shifts before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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