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icon for 纳伊姆·卡西姆（ Naim Qassem ）在担任真主党秘书长之前... ？
地缘政治·以色列

纳伊姆·卡西姆（ Naim Qassem ）在担任真主党秘书长之前... ？

icon for 纳伊姆·卡西姆（ Naim Qassem ）在担任真主党秘书长之前... ？
地缘政治·以色列

纳伊姆·卡西姆（ Naim Qassem ）在担任真主党秘书长之前... ？

$763,038 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$763,038 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$124,517 交易量

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between December 16, 2025 and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Naim Qassem assumed Hezbollah’s secretary-general role in late October 2024 after the targeted killings of Hassan Nasrallah and Hashem Safieddine, and he has remained in that position through mid-2026 while directing the group’s political and military responses. Recent public statements from April and May 2026 show Qassem rejecting proposed ceasefires, disarmament initiatives, and direct talks with Israel, while pledging continued resistance amid ongoing cross-border strikes and Israeli operations in southern Lebanon. Israeli forces eliminated his nephew and personal secretary in an April 2026 Beirut strike, underscoring persistent targeting of senior figures, yet no verified reports indicate leadership changes or succession moves within Hezbollah’s Shura Council. These developments, alongside Iran’s reported support for internal appointments, shape trader assessments of stability in the group’s top post amid active conflict and Lebanese government pressures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$763,038
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between December 16, 2025 and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Naim Qassem assumed Hezbollah’s secretary-general role in late October 2024 after the targeted killings of Hassan Nasrallah and Hashem Safieddine, and he has remained in that position through mid-2026 while directing the group’s political and military responses. Recent public statements from April and May 2026 show Qassem rejecting proposed ceasefires, disarmament initiatives, and direct talks with Israel, while pledging continued resistance amid ongoing cross-border strikes and Israeli operations in southern Lebanon. Israeli forces eliminated his nephew and personal secretary in an April 2026 Beirut strike, underscoring persistent targeting of senior figures, yet no verified reports indicate leadership changes or succession moves within Hezbollah’s Shura Council. These developments, alongside Iran’s reported support for internal appointments, shape trader assessments of stability in the group’s top post amid active conflict and Lebanese government pressures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$763,038
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"纳伊姆·卡西姆（ Naim Qassem ）在担任真主党秘书长之前... ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年6月30日"，概率为 12%，其次是"12月31日"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 12¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 12%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"纳伊姆·卡西姆（ Naim Qassem ）在担任真主党秘书长之前... ？"已产生 $763K 的总交易量（自Nov 24, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"纳伊姆·卡西姆（ Naim Qassem ）在担任真主党秘书长之前... ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"纳伊姆·卡西姆（ Naim Qassem ）在担任真主党秘书长之前... ？"的当前领先者是"2026年6月30日"，概率为 12%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 12%。紧随其后的结果是"12月31日"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"纳伊姆·卡西姆（ Naim Qassem ）在担任真主党秘书长之前... ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。