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Sports·Hot Dog Eating Contest

Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total

icon for Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total
Sports·Hot Dog Eating Contest

Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total

Men

50% 概率
Polymarket
最新

Men

50% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joey Chestnut’s consistent dominance in the men’s division drives the near-certain trader consensus, with the 17-time champion posting 70.5 hot dogs and buns in 2025 and holding the overall Nathan’s record of 76. The women’s side, led by Miki Sudo’s 2025 total of 33 and her all-time mark of 51 set in 2024, has never approached those levels despite Sudo’s repeated titles. Other male competitors routinely surpass 45–50 in recent contests, while female totals cluster well below that range. This sustained performance gap across multiple years underpins the 97% implied probability for the men’s total exceeding the women’s. Realistic variables that could narrow the margin include Chestnut’s absence or an off-day due to injury or conditioning, combined with an outlier women’s performance approaching or exceeding 50, though historical data shows such convergence remains unlikely.

This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11
结束日期
2026-07-04
市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 11:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joey Chestnut’s consistent dominance in the men’s division drives the near-certain trader consensus, with the 17-time champion posting 70.5 hot dogs and buns in 2025 and holding the overall Nathan’s record of 76. The women’s side, led by Miki Sudo’s 2025 total of 33 and her all-time mark of 51 set in 2024, has never approached those levels despite Sudo’s repeated titles. Other male competitors routinely surpass 45–50 in recent contests, while female totals cluster well below that range. This sustained performance gap across multiple years underpins the 97% implied probability for the men’s total exceeding the women’s. Realistic variables that could narrow the margin include Chestnut’s absence or an off-day due to injury or conditioning, combined with an outlier women’s performance approaching or exceeding 50, though historical data shows such convergence remains unlikely.

This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11
结束日期
2026-07-04
市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 11:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total"，概率为 50%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 50¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 50%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jul 2, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total"的当前领先者是"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total"，概率为 50%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 50%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。