Recent monitoring from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows standard Atlantic hurricane activity for 2026 with no major intensification signals yet, while United States Geological Survey data indicate average seismic rates without elevated alerts for significant events. Trader consensus for no major natural disaster this year stems from these baseline conditions and historical frequency patterns, where only a small fraction of seasons produce category 4+ landfalls or magnitude 7+ quakes in populated areas. Key upcoming factors include the next NOAA seasonal outlook and ongoing global temperature tracking that could shift odds if unusual atmospheric patterns develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$218,685 交易量
$218,685 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$218,685 交易量
$218,685 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Recent monitoring from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows standard Atlantic hurricane activity for 2026 with no major intensification signals yet, while United States Geological Survey data indicate average seismic rates without elevated alerts for significant events. Trader consensus for no major natural disaster this year stems from these baseline conditions and historical frequency patterns, where only a small fraction of seasons produce category 4+ landfalls or magnitude 7+ quakes in populated areas. Key upcoming factors include the next NOAA seasonal outlook and ongoing global temperature tracking that could shift odds if unusual atmospheric patterns develop.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
市场开放时间： Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ET
交易量
$218,685结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Recent monitoring from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows standard Atlantic hurricane activity for 2026 with no major intensification signals yet, while United States Geological Survey data indicate average seismic rates without elevated alerts for significant events. Trader consensus for no major natural disaster this year stems from these baseline conditions and historical frequency patterns, where only a small fraction of seasons produce category 4+ landfalls or magnitude 7+ quakes in populated areas. Key upcoming factors include the next NOAA seasonal outlook and ongoing global temperature tracking that could shift odds if unusual atmospheric patterns develop.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
交易量
$218,685结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent monitoring from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows standard Atlantic hurricane activity for 2026 with no major intensification signals yet, while United States Geological Survey data indicate average seismic rates without elevated alerts for significant events. Trader consensus for no major natural disaster this year stems from these baseline conditions and historical frequency patterns, where only a small fraction of seasons produce category 4+ landfalls or magnitude 7+ quakes in populated areas. Key upcoming factors include the next NOAA seasonal outlook and ongoing global temperature tracking that could shift odds if unusual atmospheric patterns develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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