James Harden's midseason trade to the Cleveland Cavaliers in February 2026 positioned him for a strong finish that propelled the team to its first Eastern Conference Finals since 2018. Sources confirm he declined his $42.3 million player option to pursue a new multiyear deal structured for salary-cap flexibility, with reports indicating his preference to remain in Cleveland alongside Donovan Mitchell. Trader consensus at 98% reflects this established fit, recent playoff contributions, and limited external cap space across the league. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include unexpected sign-and-trade interest from another contender or a sudden change in Harden's reported preference, though no credible alternatives have surfaced.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Cleveland Cavaliers 97.7%
Golden State Warriors 1.8%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,204 交易量
$1,294,204 交易量
2026-10-31
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.7%
Golden State Warriors 1.8%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,204 交易量
$1,294,204 交易量
2026-10-31
Cleveland Cavaliers
$13,357 交易量
98%
Golden State Warriors
$1,811 交易量
2%
Atlanta Hawks
$850,034 交易量
1%
San Antonio Spurs
$1,575 交易量
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
$371,029 交易量
<1%
Houston Rockets
$1,625 交易量
<1%
Toronto Raptors
$1,950 交易量
<1%
Chicago Bulls
$929 交易量
<1%
LA Clippers
$672 交易量
<1%
New York Knicks
$811 交易量
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
$993 交易量
<1%
Utah Jazz
$912 交易量
<1%
Washington Wizards
$997 交易量
<1%
Boston Celtics
$1,125 交易量
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
$836 交易量
<1%
Phoenix Suns
$32,640 交易量
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
$982 交易量
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
$584 交易量
<1%
Denver Nuggets
$857 交易量
<1%
Miami Heat
$1,252 交易量
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
$945 交易量
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
$908 交易量
<1%
Sacramento Kings
$1,087 交易量
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
$929 交易量
<1%
Detroit Pistons
$1,119 交易量
<1%
Indiana Pacers
$866 交易量
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
$939 交易量
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
$564 交易量
<1%
Orlando Magic
$989 交易量
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
$886 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.James Harden's midseason trade to the Cleveland Cavaliers in February 2026 positioned him for a strong finish that propelled the team to its first Eastern Conference Finals since 2018. Sources confirm he declined his $42.3 million player option to pursue a new multiyear deal structured for salary-cap flexibility, with reports indicating his preference to remain in Cleveland alongside Donovan Mitchell. Trader consensus at 98% reflects this established fit, recent playoff contributions, and limited external cap space across the league. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include unexpected sign-and-trade interest from another contender or a sudden change in Harden's reported preference, though no credible alternatives have surfaced.
This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
市场开放时间： Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,294,204结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.James Harden's midseason trade to the Cleveland Cavaliers in February 2026 positioned him for a strong finish that propelled the team to its first Eastern Conference Finals since 2018. Sources confirm he declined his $42.3 million player option to pursue a new multiyear deal structured for salary-cap flexibility, with reports indicating his preference to remain in Cleveland alongside Donovan Mitchell. Trader consensus at 98% reflects this established fit, recent playoff contributions, and limited external cap space across the league. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include unexpected sign-and-trade interest from another contender or a sudden change in Harden's reported preference, though no credible alternatives have surfaced.
This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
交易量
$1,294,204结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...James Harden's midseason trade to the Cleveland Cavaliers in February 2026 positioned him for a strong finish that propelled the team to its first Eastern Conference Finals since 2018. Sources confirm he declined his $42.3 million player option to pursue a new multiyear deal structured for salary-cap flexibility, with reports indicating his preference to remain in Cleveland alongside Donovan Mitchell. Trader consensus at 98% reflects this established fit, recent playoff contributions, and limited external cap space across the league. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include unexpected sign-and-trade interest from another contender or a sudden change in Harden's reported preference, though no credible alternatives have surfaced.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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