Incumbent Democrat Deborah Ross faces Republican Eugene Douglass and Libertarian Matthew Laszacs in North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, encompasses Democratic-leaning areas of central Wake County, and delivered Ross a 66% victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following canceled primaries and limited Republican organizational activity. Mid-decade redistricting left the district’s boundaries largely unchanged, preserving its partisan tilt. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5% implied probability consistent with this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain theoretically capable of narrowing the margin before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,056 交易量
$16,056 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$16,056 交易量
$16,056 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$6,255 交易量
95%
共和党
$9,801 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Deborah Ross faces Republican Eugene Douglass and Libertarian Matthew Laszacs in North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, encompasses Democratic-leaning areas of central Wake County, and delivered Ross a 66% victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following canceled primaries and limited Republican organizational activity. Mid-decade redistricting left the district’s boundaries largely unchanged, preserving its partisan tilt. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5% implied probability consistent with this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain theoretically capable of narrowing the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$16,056结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Deborah Ross faces Republican Eugene Douglass and Libertarian Matthew Laszacs in North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, encompasses Democratic-leaning areas of central Wake County, and delivered Ross a 66% victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following canceled primaries and limited Republican organizational activity. Mid-decade redistricting left the district’s boundaries largely unchanged, preserving its partisan tilt. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5% implied probability consistent with this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain theoretically capable of narrowing the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,056结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Deborah Ross faces Republican Eugene Douglass and Libertarian Matthew Laszacs in North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, encompasses Democratic-leaning areas of central Wake County, and delivered Ross a 66% victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following canceled primaries and limited Republican organizational activity. Mid-decade redistricting left the district’s boundaries largely unchanged, preserving its partisan tilt. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5% implied probability consistent with this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain theoretically capable of narrowing the margin before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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