Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured her party's nomination in North Carolina's 4th District after defeating progressive challenger Nida Allam by a narrow margin in the March 2026 primary, a contest that drew outside spending but confirmed the district's deep Democratic lean centered on Durham and Chapel Hill. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting consistent past results and the absence of a competitive Republican general-election opponent. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge or an unforeseen local scandal capable of depressing Democratic turnout in this reliably blue area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,225 交易量
$12,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$12,225 交易量
$12,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,607 交易量
94%
共和党
$4,618 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured her party's nomination in North Carolina's 4th District after defeating progressive challenger Nida Allam by a narrow margin in the March 2026 primary, a contest that drew outside spending but confirmed the district's deep Democratic lean centered on Durham and Chapel Hill. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting consistent past results and the absence of a competitive Republican general-election opponent. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge or an unforeseen local scandal capable of depressing Democratic turnout in this reliably blue area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$12,225结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured her party's nomination in North Carolina's 4th District after defeating progressive challenger Nida Allam by a narrow margin in the March 2026 primary, a contest that drew outside spending but confirmed the district's deep Democratic lean centered on Durham and Chapel Hill. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting consistent past results and the absence of a competitive Republican general-election opponent. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge or an unforeseen local scandal capable of depressing Democratic turnout in this reliably blue area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,225结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured her party's nomination in North Carolina's 4th District after defeating progressive challenger Nida Allam by a narrow margin in the March 2026 primary, a contest that drew outside spending but confirmed the district's deep Democratic lean centered on Durham and Chapel Hill. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting consistent past results and the absence of a competitive Republican general-election opponent. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge or an unforeseen local scandal capable of depressing Democratic turnout in this reliably blue area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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