Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 4th congressional district, facing Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The district's composition, encompassing Democratic strongholds in Durham and Orange counties along with portions of Chatham and Wake, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbency advantages, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area further reinforce this positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or substantial national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Democratic seat based on historical benchmarks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,520 交易量
$25,520 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$25,520 交易量
$25,520 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,749 交易量
95%
共和党
$10,771 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 4th congressional district, facing Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The district's composition, encompassing Democratic strongholds in Durham and Orange counties along with portions of Chatham and Wake, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbency advantages, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area further reinforce this positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or substantial national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Democratic seat based on historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$25,520结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 4th congressional district, facing Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The district's composition, encompassing Democratic strongholds in Durham and Orange counties along with portions of Chatham and Wake, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbency advantages, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area further reinforce this positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or substantial national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Democratic seat based on historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,520结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 4th congressional district, facing Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The district's composition, encompassing Democratic strongholds in Durham and Orange counties along with portions of Chatham and Wake, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbency advantages, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area further reinforce this positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or substantial national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Democratic seat based on historical benchmarks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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