Incumbent Rep. Mark Harris (R) holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to 85.5% odds for a Republican victory on November 3. Harris advanced unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, signaling strong party unity, while Democrat Colby Watson emerged from a contested primary with 48% amid a fragmented field. Harris's 60% win in the 2024 general election in this R+10 district underscores incumbency advantages and historical re-election base rates above 90% in safe seats. Absent polls, markets reflect low Democratic path-to-victory amid redistricting-favored maps, though national midterms or scandals could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,368 交易量
$12,368 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
$12,368 交易量
$12,368 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,414 交易量
85%
民主党
$7,954 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark Harris (R) holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to 85.5% odds for a Republican victory on November 3. Harris advanced unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, signaling strong party unity, while Democrat Colby Watson emerged from a contested primary with 48% amid a fragmented field. Harris's 60% win in the 2024 general election in this R+10 district underscores incumbency advantages and historical re-election base rates above 90% in safe seats. Absent polls, markets reflect low Democratic path-to-victory amid redistricting-favored maps, though national midterms or scandals could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$12,368结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark Harris (R) holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to 85.5% odds for a Republican victory on November 3. Harris advanced unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, signaling strong party unity, while Democrat Colby Watson emerged from a contested primary with 48% amid a fragmented field. Harris's 60% win in the 2024 general election in this R+10 district underscores incumbency advantages and historical re-election base rates above 90% in safe seats. Absent polls, markets reflect low Democratic path-to-victory amid redistricting-favored maps, though national midterms or scandals could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,368结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mark Harris (R) holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to 85.5% odds for a Republican victory on November 3. Harris advanced unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, signaling strong party unity, while Democrat Colby Watson emerged from a contested primary with 48% amid a fragmented field. Harris's 60% win in the 2024 general election in this R+10 district underscores incumbency advantages and historical re-election base rates above 90% in safe seats. Absent polls, markets reflect low Democratic path-to-victory amid redistricting-favored maps, though national midterms or scandals could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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