New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, favors the Democratic nominee amid the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests. Representative Chris Pappas leads the Democratic primary and holds modest advantages in early general election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Sununu, a former senator with Trump endorsement. Recent polling shows Pappas ahead by single digits or within the margin, reflecting voter familiarity with Pappas, New Hampshire's partisan voting index, and historical patterns for open seats in the Granite State. The September 8 primaries and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning remain key variables that could influence final probabilities before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,705 交易量
$43,705 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
86%
共和党
15%
$43,705 交易量
$43,705 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$27,846 交易量
86%
共和党
$15,859 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, favors the Democratic nominee amid the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests. Representative Chris Pappas leads the Democratic primary and holds modest advantages in early general election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Sununu, a former senator with Trump endorsement. Recent polling shows Pappas ahead by single digits or within the margin, reflecting voter familiarity with Pappas, New Hampshire's partisan voting index, and historical patterns for open seats in the Granite State. The September 8 primaries and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning remain key variables that could influence final probabilities before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$43,705结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, favors the Democratic nominee amid the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests. Representative Chris Pappas leads the Democratic primary and holds modest advantages in early general election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Sununu, a former senator with Trump endorsement. Recent polling shows Pappas ahead by single digits or within the margin, reflecting voter familiarity with Pappas, New Hampshire's partisan voting index, and historical patterns for open seats in the Granite State. The September 8 primaries and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning remain key variables that could influence final probabilities before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$43,705结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, favors the Democratic nominee amid the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests. Representative Chris Pappas leads the Democratic primary and holds modest advantages in early general election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Sununu, a former senator with Trump endorsement. Recent polling shows Pappas ahead by single digits or within the margin, reflecting voter familiarity with Pappas, New Hampshire's partisan voting index, and historical patterns for open seats in the Granite State. The September 8 primaries and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning remain key variables that could influence final probabilities before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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