Negotiations between Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association opened on May 12 with preliminary overviews but no formal proposals, leaving core disputes over a salary cap, revenue sharing, and competitive balance tax unresolved. Historical precedent from the 2021-22 talks, which produced a 99-day lockout before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that bargaining will extend past the Dec. 1 expiration. With the MLBPA maintaining significant leverage and owners prioritizing cost controls, the current 63.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the anticipated timeline for a potential lockout and delayed agreement into early 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-01
是
最新
最新
2026-12-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations between Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association opened on May 12 with preliminary overviews but no formal proposals, leaving core disputes over a salary cap, revenue sharing, and competitive balance tax unresolved. Historical precedent from the 2021-22 talks, which produced a 99-day lockout before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that bargaining will extend past the Dec. 1 expiration. With the MLBPA maintaining significant leverage and owners prioritizing cost controls, the current 63.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the anticipated timeline for a potential lockout and delayed agreement into early 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
交易量
$6,183结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations between Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association opened on May 12 with preliminary overviews but no formal proposals, leaving core disputes over a salary cap, revenue sharing, and competitive balance tax unresolved. Historical precedent from the 2021-22 talks, which produced a 99-day lockout before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that bargaining will extend past the Dec. 1 expiration. With the MLBPA maintaining significant leverage and owners prioritizing cost controls, the current 63.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the anticipated timeline for a potential lockout and delayed agreement into early 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,183结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association opened on May 12 with preliminary overviews but no formal proposals, leaving core disputes over a salary cap, revenue sharing, and competitive balance tax unresolved. Historical precedent from the 2021-22 talks, which produced a 99-day lockout before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that bargaining will extend past the Dec. 1 expiration. With the MLBPA maintaining significant leverage and owners prioritizing cost controls, the current 63.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the anticipated timeline for a potential lockout and delayed agreement into early 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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