Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and her established incumbency advantages. Recent Siena College polling from early August shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, by ten points among likely voters, consistent with broader aggregates reflecting limited Republican inroads. Primaries concluded without major intra-party challenges. The implied probability in trader consensus aligns with historical patterns for Democratic performance in New York. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant shifts in voter turnout among key demographics, unexpected economic developments affecting state finances, or late-campaign events altering candidate favorability before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$94,564 交易量
$94,564 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$94,564 交易量
$94,564 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$45,515 交易量
94%
共和党
$49,050 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and her established incumbency advantages. Recent Siena College polling from early August shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, by ten points among likely voters, consistent with broader aggregates reflecting limited Republican inroads. Primaries concluded without major intra-party challenges. The implied probability in trader consensus aligns with historical patterns for Democratic performance in New York. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant shifts in voter turnout among key demographics, unexpected economic developments affecting state finances, or late-campaign events altering candidate favorability before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$94,564结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and her established incumbency advantages. Recent Siena College polling from early August shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, by ten points among likely voters, consistent with broader aggregates reflecting limited Republican inroads. Primaries concluded without major intra-party challenges. The implied probability in trader consensus aligns with historical patterns for Democratic performance in New York. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant shifts in voter turnout among key demographics, unexpected economic developments affecting state finances, or late-campaign events altering candidate favorability before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$94,564结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and her established incumbency advantages. Recent Siena College polling from early August shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, by ten points among likely voters, consistent with broader aggregates reflecting limited Republican inroads. Primaries concluded without major intra-party challenges. The implied probability in trader consensus aligns with historical patterns for Democratic performance in New York. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant shifts in voter turnout among key demographics, unexpected economic developments affecting state finances, or late-campaign events altering candidate favorability before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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