Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee near 93-94 percent. New York’s longstanding partisan tilt, combined with Hochul’s improved standing since her narrower 2022 victory, underpins the lead. Recent Siena and other polls show her ahead by roughly 10 points against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump after Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal. Uncontested primaries cleared the field early, while affordability, taxes, and cost-of-living concerns dominate campaign messaging. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major polling error could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$94,564 交易量
$94,564 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$94,564 交易量
$94,564 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$45,515 交易量
94%
共和党
$49,050 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee near 93-94 percent. New York’s longstanding partisan tilt, combined with Hochul’s improved standing since her narrower 2022 victory, underpins the lead. Recent Siena and other polls show her ahead by roughly 10 points against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump after Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal. Uncontested primaries cleared the field early, while affordability, taxes, and cost-of-living concerns dominate campaign messaging. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major polling error could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$94,564结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee near 93-94 percent. New York’s longstanding partisan tilt, combined with Hochul’s improved standing since her narrower 2022 victory, underpins the lead. Recent Siena and other polls show her ahead by roughly 10 points against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump after Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal. Uncontested primaries cleared the field early, while affordability, taxes, and cost-of-living concerns dominate campaign messaging. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major polling error could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$94,564结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee near 93-94 percent. New York’s longstanding partisan tilt, combined with Hochul’s improved standing since her narrower 2022 victory, underpins the lead. Recent Siena and other polls show her ahead by roughly 10 points against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump after Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal. Uncontested primaries cleared the field early, while affordability, taxes, and cost-of-living concerns dominate campaign messaging. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major polling error could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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