Recent polls, including the Taxpayers' Union-Curia survey from early May, position Labour ahead of National in party vote under MMP, with the left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) competitive for a governing majority of 61 seats in projections. National's support has hovered near historic lows around 30% since mid-April 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills polls, driven by economic pessimism, cost-of-living pressures, and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's record-low preferred PM ratings amid leadership speculation he quelled via caucus confidence vote. Rising New Zealand First bolsters the right coalition's slim seat edges in some trackers, but trader consensus reflects Labour's sustained polling lead and path to government formation ahead of the November 7 election. Minor parties trail due to threshold barriers and limited electorate strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Labour Party 64%
National Party 36%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
36%
Labour Party
64%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party 64%
National Party 36%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
$861 交易量
36%
Labour Party
$924 交易量
64%
Green Party
$245 交易量
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$255 交易量
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$235 交易量
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$230 交易量
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including the Taxpayers' Union-Curia survey from early May, position Labour ahead of National in party vote under MMP, with the left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) competitive for a governing majority of 61 seats in projections. National's support has hovered near historic lows around 30% since mid-April 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills polls, driven by economic pessimism, cost-of-living pressures, and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's record-low preferred PM ratings amid leadership speculation he quelled via caucus confidence vote. Rising New Zealand First bolsters the right coalition's slim seat edges in some trackers, but trader consensus reflects Labour's sustained polling lead and path to government formation ahead of the November 7 election. Minor parties trail due to threshold barriers and limited electorate strength.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$2,749结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including the Taxpayers' Union-Curia survey from early May, position Labour ahead of National in party vote under MMP, with the left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) competitive for a governing majority of 61 seats in projections. National's support has hovered near historic lows around 30% since mid-April 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills polls, driven by economic pessimism, cost-of-living pressures, and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's record-low preferred PM ratings amid leadership speculation he quelled via caucus confidence vote. Rising New Zealand First bolsters the right coalition's slim seat edges in some trackers, but trader consensus reflects Labour's sustained polling lead and path to government formation ahead of the November 7 election. Minor parties trail due to threshold barriers and limited electorate strength.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$2,749结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including the Taxpayers' Union-Curia survey from early May, position Labour ahead of National in party vote under MMP, with the left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) competitive for a governing majority of 61 seats in projections. National's support has hovered near historic lows around 30% since mid-April 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills polls, driven by economic pessimism, cost-of-living pressures, and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's record-low preferred PM ratings amid leadership speculation he quelled via caucus confidence vote. Rising New Zealand First bolsters the right coalition's slim seat edges in some trackers, but trader consensus reflects Labour's sustained polling lead and path to government formation ahead of the November 7 election. Minor parties trail due to threshold barriers and limited electorate strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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